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Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Recently, diffusion models (DMs) have made significant strides in high-quality image generation. However, the multi-step denoising process often results in considerable computational overhead, impeding deployment on resource-constrained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yu-Shan Tai , An-Yeu , Wu

Deep neural networks have seen tremendous success for different modalities of data including images, videos, and speech. This success has led to their deployment in mobile and embedded systems for real-time applications. However, making…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Nitthilan Kannappan Jayakodi , Anwesha Chatterjee , Wonje Choi , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Partha Pratim Pande

Computer vision is difficult, partly because the desired mathematical function connecting input and output data is often complex, fuzzy and thus hard to learn. Coarse-to-fine (C2F) learning is a promising direction, but it remains unclear…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Xutong Ren , Lingxi Xie , Chen Wei , Siyuan Qiao , Chi Su , Jiaying Liu , Qi Tian , Elliot K. Fishman , Alan L. Yuille

We propose a Coefficient-to-Basis Network (C2BNet), a novel framework for solving inverse problems within the operator learning paradigm. C2BNet efficiently adapts to different discretizations through fine-tuning, using a pre-trained model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Zecheng Zhang , Hao Liu , Wenjing Liao , Guang Lin

We introduce deep switching auto-regressive factorization (DSARF), a deep generative model for spatio-temporal data with the capability to unravel recurring patterns in the data and perform robust short- and long-term predictions. Similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Amirreza Farnoosh , Bahar Azari , Sarah Ostadabbas

Probabilistic forecasting provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems by representing predictions as probability distributions rather than deterministic trajectories. However, existing forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Tianlin Yang , Hailiang Du , Louis Aslett

The paper develops a general flexible framework for Network Autoregressive Processes (NAR), wherein the response of each node linearly depends on its past values, a prespecified linear combination of neighboring nodes and a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

The Coarse-to-Fine Few-Shot (C2FS) task is designed to train models using only coarse labels, then leverages a limited number of subclass samples to achieve fine-grained recognition capabilities. This task presents two main challenges:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Xin-yang Zhao , Jian Jin , Yang-yang Li , Yazhou Yao

We propose a data-driven, coarse-graining formulation in the context of equilibrium statistical mechanics. In contrast to existing techniques which are based on a fine-to-coarse map, we adopt the opposite strategy by prescribing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Accurately predicting the trajectory of vehicles is critically important for ensuring safety and reliability in autonomous driving. Although considerable research efforts have been made recently, the inherent trajectory uncertainty caused…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Zichen Wang , Hao Miao , Senzhang Wang , Renzhi Wang , Jianxin Wang , Jian Zhang

The paper introduces a flexible model for the analysis of multivariate nonlinear time series data. The proposed Functional Coefficients Network Autoregressive (FCNAR) model considers the response of each node in the network to depend in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

The previous deep video compression approaches only use the single scale motion compensation strategy and rarely adopt the mode prediction technique from the traditional standards like H.264/H.265 for both motion and residual compression.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Zhihao Hu , Guo Lu , Jinyang Guo , Shan Liu , Wei Jiang , Dong Xu

Autoregressive (AR) models for image generation typically adopt a two-stage paradigm of vector quantization and raster-scan ``next-token prediction", inspired by its great success in language modeling. However, due to the huge modality gap,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Hu Yu , Hao Luo , Hangjie Yuan , Yu Rong , Jie Huang , Feng Zhao

Autoregressive models have demonstrated remarkable success in sequential data generation, particularly in NLP, but their extension to continuous-domain image generation presents significant challenges. Recent work, the masked autoregressive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Tiankai Hang , Jianmin Bao , Fangyun Wei , Dong Chen

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

We propose Significance-Offset Convolutional Neural Network, a deep convolutional network architecture for regression of multivariate asynchronous time series. The model is inspired by standard autoregressive (AR) models and gating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Gautier Marti , Philippe Donnat
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