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There is a well-known problem in Null Hypothesis Significance Testing: many statistically significant results fail to replicate in subsequent experiments. We show that this problem arises because standard `point-form null' significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

A/B-tests are a cornerstone of experimental design on the web, with wide-ranging applications and use-cases. The statistical $t$-test comparing differences in means is the most commonly used method for assessing treatment effects, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Olivier Jeunen

We develop T-SKIRT: a temporal, structured-knowledge, IRT-based method for predicting student responses online. By explicitly accounting for student learning and employing a structured, multidimensional representation of student…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Chaitanya Ekanadham , Yan Karklin

We investigate the problem of testing the global null in the high-dimensional regression models when the feature dimension $p$ grows proportionally to the number of observations $n$. Despite a number of prior work studying this problem,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Yue Li , Ilmun Kim , Yuting Wei

Online controlled experiments, such as A/B-tests, are commonly used by modern tech companies to enable continuous system improvements. Despite their paramount importance, A/B-tests are expensive: by their very definition, a percentage of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Shubham Baweja , Neeti Pokharna , Aleksei Ustimenko , Olivier Jeunen

Under long memory, the limit theorems for normalized sums of random variables typically involve a positive integer called "Hermite rank". There is a different limit for each Hermite rank. From a statistical point of view, however, we argue…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-03 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

As evaluation designs of large language models may shape our trajectory toward artificial general intelligence, comprehensive and forward-looking assessment is essential. Existing benchmarks primarily assess static knowledge, while…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Jiayin Wang , Zhiquang Guo , Weizhi Ma , Min Zhang

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

What can be considered an appropriate statistical method for the primary analysis of a randomized clinical trial (RCT) with a time-to-event endpoint when we anticipate non-proportional hazards owing to a delayed effect? This question has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 José L. Jiménez , Isobel Barrott , Francesca Gasperoni , Dominic Magirr

As a common step in refining their scientific inquiry, investigators are often interested in performing some screening of a collection of given statistical hypotheses. For example, they may wish to determine whether any one of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Adam Elder , Marco Carone , Peter Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

With the rapid development of Large Language Models (LLMs), it is crucial to have benchmarks which can evaluate the ability of LLMs on different domains. One common use of LLMs is performing tasks on scientific topics, such as writing…

Online controlled experiments, colloquially known as A/B-tests, are the bread and butter of real-world recommender system evaluation. Typically, end-users are randomly assigned some system variant, and a plethora of metrics are then…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Olivier Jeunen , Shubham Baweja , Neeti Pokharna , Aleksei Ustimenko

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) often involve multiple longitudinal primary outcomes to comprehensively assess treatment efficacy. The Longitudinal Rank-Sum Test (LRST), a robust U-statistics-based, non-parametric, rank-based method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Sheng Luo

Text classification has long been a staple within Natural Language Processing (NLP) with applications spanning across diverse areas such as sentiment analysis, recommender systems and spam detection. With such a powerful solution, it is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Amir Atapour-Abarghouei , Stephen Bonner , Andrew Stephen McGough

We study the problem of testing for the presence of random effects in mixed models with high-dimensional fixed effects. To this end, we propose a rank-based graph-theoretic approach to test whether a collection of random effects is zero.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Lynna Chu , Yichuan Bai

Human evaluation for natural language generation (NLG) often suffers from inconsistent user ratings. While previous research tends to attribute this problem to individual user preferences, we show that the quality of human judgements can…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Jekaterina Novikova , Ondřej Dušek , Verena Rieser

Online learning to rank is a core problem in information retrieval and machine learning. Many provably efficient algorithms have been recently proposed for this problem in specific click models. The click model is a model of how the user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Masrour Zoghi , Tomas Tunys , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Branislav Kveton , Csaba Szepesvari , Zheng Wen

Graph-based tests are a class of non-parametric two-sample tests useful for analyzing high-dimensional data. The test statistics are constructed from similarity graphs (such as K-minimum spanning tree), and consequently, their performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Yichuan Bai , Lynna Chu

Rank aggregation systems collect ordinal preferences from individuals to produce a global ranking that represents the social preference. Rank-breaking is a common practice to reduce the computational complexity of learning the global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Ashish Khetan , Sewoong Oh

Current studies on adversarial robustness mainly focus on aggregating local robustness results from a set of data samples to evaluate and rank different models. However, the local statistics may not well represent the true global robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zaitang Li , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho
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