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The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras

The data association problem is concerned with separating data coming from different generating processes, for example when data come from different data sources, contain significant noise, or exhibit multimodality. We present a fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-07 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

Bayesian inversion is central to the quantification of uncertainty within problems arising from numerous applications in science and engineering. To formulate the approach, four ingredients are required: a forward model mapping the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur

The successes of modern deep machine learning methods are founded on their ability to transform inputs across multiple layers to build good high-level representations. It is therefore critical to understand this process of representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Adam X. Yang , Maxime Robeyns , Edward Milsom , Ben Anson , Nandi Schoots , Laurence Aitchison

Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) as a model prior in Bayesian learning intuitively exploits the expressive power in function composition. DGPs also offer diverse modeling capabilities, but inference is challenging because marginalization in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

We consider the statistical linear inverse problem of recovering the unknown initial heat state from noisy interior measurements over an inhomogeneous domain of the solution to the heat equation at a fixed time instant. We employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Matteo Giordano

Recovering high-dimensional signals from corrupted measurements is a central challenge in inverse problems. Recent advances in generative diffusion models have shown remarkable empirical success in providing strong data-driven priors, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Oscar Leong , Yann Traonmilin

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Chi-Ken Lu , Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Xiaoran Hao , Patrick Shafto

We propose a nested Gaussian process (nGP) as a locally adaptive prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. Specified through a set of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the nGP imposes a Gaussian process prior for the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

Understanding the structure of our universe and the distribution of matter is an area of active research. As cosmological surveys grow in complexity, the development of emulators to efficiently and effectively predict matter power spectra…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-28 Stephen A. Walsh , Annie S. Booth , David Higdon , Jared Clark , Kelly R. Moran , Katrin Heitmann

The sparse structure of the solution for an inverse problem can be modelled using different sparsity enforcing priors when the Bayesian approach is considered. Analytical expression for the unknowns of the model can be obtained by building…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-31 Mircea Dumitru

We study the well-known problem of estimating a sparse $n$-dimensional unknown mean vector $\theta = (\theta_1, ..., \theta_n)$ with entries corrupted by Gaussian white noise. In the Bayesian framework, continuous shrinkage priors which can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

A multi-layer deep Gaussian process (DGP) model is a hierarchical composition of GP models with a greater expressive power. Exact DGP inference is intractable, which has motivated the recent development of deterministic and stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Haibin Yu , Yizhou Chen , Zhongxiang Dai , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are important tools to model physical systems and including them into machine learning models is an important way of incorporating physical knowledge. Given any system of linear PDEs with constant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Marc Härkönen , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Bogdan Raiţă

Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful foundation model for visual generations. With an appropriate sampling process, it can effectively serve as a generative prior for solving general inverse problems. Current posterior sampling-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Shijie Zhou , Huaisheng Zhu , Rohan Sharma , Jiayi Chen , Ruiyi Zhang , Kaiyi Ji , Changyou Chen
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