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The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, emerged into a world being rapidly transformed by artificial intelligence (AI) based on big data, computational power and neural networks. The gaze of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Yipeng Hu , Joseph Jacob , Geoffrey JM Parker , David J Hawkes , John R Hurst , Danail Stoyanov

With the continued spread of coronavirus, the task of forecasting distinctive COVID-19 growth curves in different cities, which remain inadequately explained by standard epidemiological models, is critical for medical supply and treatment.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Zhenyu Han , Fengli Xu , Yong Li , Tao Jiang , Depeng Jin , Jianhua Lu , James A. Evans

Following the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and pending the establishment of vaccination campaigns, several non pharmaceutical interventions such as partial and full lockdown, quarantine and measures of physical distancing have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 Nicolas Franco

Detailed mobile sensing data from phones, watches, and fitness trackers offer an unparalleled opportunity to quantify and act upon previously unmeasurable behavioral changes in order to improve individual health and accelerate responses to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Mike A. Merrill , Tim Althoff

The node-place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individual travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-21 Jiali Zhou , Mingzhi Zhou , Jiangping Zhou , Zhan Zhao

The COVID-19 pandemic response relied heavily on statistical and machine learning models to predict key outcomes such as case prevalence and fatality rates. These predictions were instrumental in enabling timely public health interventions…

How different cultures react and respond given a crisis is predominant in a society's norms and political will to combat the situation. Often the decisions made are necessitated by events, social pressure, or the need of the hour, which may…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Ali Shariq Imran , Sher Mohammad Doudpota , Zenun Kastrati , Rakhi Bhatra

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

During the COVID-19 pandemic changes in human activity became widespread through official policies and organically in response to the virus's transmission, which in turn, impacted the environment and the economy. The pandemic has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-27 Srija Chakraborty , Eleanor Stokes , Olivia Alexander

This paper seeks to study the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic based on daily published data from Worldometer website, using a time-dependent SIR model. Our findings indicate that this model fits well such data, for different chosen…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-28 Rawan H. Madi , Sophie M. Moufawad , Nabil R. Nassif

The role of epidemiological models is crucial for informing public health officials during a public health emergency, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, traditional epidemiological models fail to capture the time-varying effects of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Adam Spannaus , Theodore Papamarkou , Samantha Erwin , J. Blair Christian

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

Typically, mathematical simulation studies on COVID-19 pandemic forecasting are based on deterministic differential equations which assume that both the number ($n$) of individuals in various epidemiological classes and the time ($t$) on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Ioan Baldea

Accurate fMRI analysis requires sensitivity to temporal structure across multiple scales, as BOLD signals encode cognitive processes that emerge from fast transient dynamics to slower, large-scale fluctuations. Existing deep learning (DL)…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-06 Furkan Genç , Boran İsmet Macun , Sait Sarper Özaslan , Emine U. Saritas , Tolga Çukur

This paper is concerned with nonlinear modeling and analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic currently ravaging the planet. There are two objectives: to arrive at an appropriate model that captures the collected data faithfully, and to use that as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-15 C. A. K. Kwuimy , Foad Nazari , Xun Jiao , Pejman Rohani , C. Nataraj

To contain the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the non-pharmacological epidemic control measures in response to the COVID-19 outbreak is reducing the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2 in the population through (physical)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-19 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse

Epidemiological simulations as a method are used to better understand and predict the spreading of infectious diseases, for example of COVID-19. This paper presents an approach that combines person-centric data-driven human mobility…

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected our society and human well-being in various ways. In this study, we investigate how the pandemic has influenced people's emotions and psychological states compared to a pre-pandemic period…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Tian Yan , Fang Liu
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