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This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter , Jim Hanly

The use of CVA to cover credit risk is widely spread, but has its limitations. Namely, dealers face the problem of the illiquidity of instruments used for hedging it, hence forced to warehouse credit risk. As a result, dealers tend to offer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Lucia Cipolina-Kun , Ignacio Ruiz , Mariano Zero-Medina Laris

We consider the finite horizon continuous reinforcement learning problem. Our contribution is three-fold. First,we give a tractable algorithm based on optimistic value iteration for the problem. Next,we give a lower bound on regret of order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Phanideep Gampa , Sairam Satwik Kondamudi , Lakshmanan Kailasam

The valuation of over-the-counter derivatives is subject to a series of valuation adjustments known as xVA, which pose additional risks for financial institutions. Associated risk measures, such as the value-at-risk of an underlying…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence

This paper develops algorithms for high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on deep learning and dynamic programming. Unlike classical approximate dynamic programming approaches, we first approximate the optimal policy by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Côme Huré , Huyên Pham , Achref Bachouch , Nicolas Langrené

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

In safety-critical applications of reinforcement learning such as healthcare and robotics, it is often desirable to optimize risk-sensitive objectives that account for tail outcomes rather than expected reward. We prove the first regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 O. Bastani , Y. J. Ma , E. Shen , W. Xu

The collateral choice option allows a collateral-posting party the opportunity to change the type of security in which the collateral is deposited. Due to non-zero collateral basis spreads, this optionality significantly impacts asset…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-17 Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak , Felix L. Wolf

Hindsight Credit Assignment (HCA) refers to a recently proposed family of methods for producing more efficient credit assignment in reinforcement learning. These methods work by explicitly estimating the probability that certain actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Kenny Young

Hedging a portfolio containing autocallable notes presents unique challenges due to the complex risk profile of these financial instruments. In addition to hedging, pricing these notes, particularly when multiple underlying assets are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener

Risk-averse reinforcement learning finds application in various high-stakes fields. Unlike classical reinforcement learning, which aims to maximize expected returns, risk-averse agents choose policies that minimize risk, occasionally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Igor Udovichenko , Olivier Croissant , Anita Toleutaeva , Evgeny Burnaev , Alexander Korotin

We consider the problem of computing the Credit Value Adjustment ({CVA}) of a European option in presence of the Wrong Way Risk ({WWR}) in a default intensity setting. Namely we model the asset price evolution as solution to a linear…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-20 Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

Linear dynamical systems that obey stochastic differential equations are canonical models. While optimal control of known systems has a rich literature, the problem is technically hard under model uncertainty and there are hardly any…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-09 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Quantum machine learning has the potential for a transformative impact across industry sectors and in particular in finance. In our work we look at the problem of hedging where deep reinforcement learning offers a powerful framework for…

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) is suitable for safety-critical domains where online exploration is too costly or dangerous. In such safety-critical settings, decision-making should take into consideration the risk of catastrophic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

We develop a semi-static framework for the variance-optimal hedging of multi-asset derivatives exposed to correlation and covariance risk. The approach combines continuous-time dynamic trading in the underlying assets with a static…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Konstantinos Chatziandreou , Sven Karbach

A positive correlation between exposure and counterparty credit risk gives rise to the so-called Wrong-Way Risk (WWR). Even after a decade of the financial crisis, addressing WWR in both sound and tractable ways remains challenging.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Ashish Kumar , Laszlo Markus , Norbert Hari

In domains such as finance, healthcare, and robotics, managing worst-case scenarios is critical, as failure to do so can lead to catastrophic outcomes. Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DRL) provides a natural framework to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Mehrdad Moghimi , Hyejin Ku

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

The objective in a traditional reinforcement learning (RL) problem is to find a policy that optimizes the expected value of a performance metric such as the infinite-horizon cumulative discounted or long-run average cost/reward. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Prashanth L. A. , Michael Fu