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Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has opened up new challenges to the research community. Artificial intelligence (AI) driven methods can be useful to predict the parameters, risks, and effects of such an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-17 Ratnabali Pal , Arif Ahmed Sekh , Samarjit Kar , Dilip K. Prasad

In the today's Internet and TCP/IP-networks, the queueing of packets is commonly implemented using the protocol FIFO (First In First Out). Unfortunately, FIFO performs poorly in the Adversarial Queueing Theory. Other queueing strategies are…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2008-05-07 Michael Hilker , Christoph Schommer

In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to analyze the dynamic behavior of COVID-19. Based on inter-city networked coupling effects, a fractional-order SEIHDR system with the real-data from 23 January to 18 March, 2020 of COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 Zhenzhen Lu , Yongguang Yu , YangQuan Chen , Guojian Ren , Conghui Xu , Shuhui Wang , Zhe Yin

One of the main problems in controlling COVID-19 epidemic spread is the delay in confirming cases. Having information on changes in the epidemic evolution or outbreaks rise before lab-confirmation is crucial in decision making for Public…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-14 Ezequiel Alvarez , Daniela Obando , Sebastian Crespo , Enio Garcia , Nicolas Kreplak , Franco Marsico

Over 12 billion doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered at the time of writing. However, public perceptions of vaccines have been complex. We analyzed COVID-19 vaccine-related tweets to understand the evolving perceptions of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Hanyin Wang , Meghan R. Hutch , Yikuan Li , Adrienne S. Kline , Sebastian Otero , Leena B. Mithal , Emily S. Miller , Andrew Naidech , Yuan Luo

Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

In this paper, we study the problem of minimizing the spread of a viral epidemic when immunization takes a non-negligible amount of time to take into effect. Specifically, our problem is to determine which set of nodes to be vaccinated when…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Shiju Li , Xin Huang , Chul-Ho Lee , Do Young Eun

This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Robert Schaback

With the prevalence of COVID-19, the modeling of epidemic propagation and its analyses have played a significant role in controlling epidemics. However, individual behaviors, in particular the self-protection and migration, which have a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yuhan Li , Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths

A collection of $k$ mobile agents is arbitrarily deployed in the edges of a directed torus network where agents perpetually move to the successor edge. Each node has a switch that allows one agent of the two incoming edges to pass to its…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Oscar Morales-Ponce , Burkhard Englert , Mehrdad Aliasgari

To mitigate the pandemic stemming from COVID-19, numerous nations have initiated extensive vaccination campaigns for their citizens since late 2020. While affluent countries have predominantly received vaccine allocations, fewer doses have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-01 Hsin-Ju Chou , Jing-Yuan Ko , Sung-Po Chao

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

The COVID-19 pandemic has globally posed numerous health challenges, notably the emergence of post-COVID-19 cardiovascular complications. This study addresses this by utilizing data-driven machine learning models to predict such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Maitham G. Yousif , Hector J. Castro

Background: Rapid testing for an infection is paramount during a pandemic to prevent continued viral spread and excess morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine whether alternative testing strategies based on sample pooling can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Timo de Wolff , Dirk Pflüger , Michael Rehme , Janin Heuer , Martin-Immanuel Bittner

We consider a discrete-time system comprising a first-come-first-served queue, a non-preemptive server, and a stationary non-work-conserving scheduler. New tasks enter the queue according to a Bernoulli process with a pre-specified arrival…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-05 Michael Lin , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La

This paper presents a stochastic optimization model for allocating and sharing a critical resource in the case of a pandemic. The demand for different entities peaks at different times, and an initial inventory from a central agency is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Sanjay Mehrotra , Hamed Rahimian , Masoud Barah , Fengqiao Luo , Karolina Schantz

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed immense strain on hospital systems worldwide, leading to critical capacity challenges. This research proposes a two-part framework to optimize hospital capacity through patient relocation strategies. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sadaf Tabatabaee , Hicham El Baz , Mohammed Khalil Ghali , Nagendra N. Nagarur

Optimal use and distribution of Covid-19 vaccines involves adjustments of dosing. Due to the rapidly-evolving pandemic, such adjustments often need to be introduced before full efficacy data are available. As demonstrated in other areas of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Mario Giorgi , Rajat Desikan , Piet H. van der Graaf , Andrzej M. Kierzek
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