Related papers: Overdrawing Urns using Categories of Signed Probab…
We mathematically model the supertask, introduced by Hansen, in which an infinity of gods together select a random natural number by each randomly removing a finite number of balls from an urn, leaving one final ball. We show that this…
Generalizations to the permutation test are introduced to allow for situations in which the null model is not exchangeable. It is shown that the generalized permutation tests are exact, and a partial converse: that any test function that is…
We investigate the joint distribution of the vertex degrees in three models of random bipartite graphs. Namely, we can choose each edge with a specified probability, choose a specified number of edges, or specify the vertex degrees in one…
Higher-order probabilistic programming languages allow programmers to write sophisticated models in machine learning and statistics in a succinct and structured way, but step outside the standard measure-theoretic formalization of…
The wrapped normal distribution arises when a the density of a one-dimensional normal distribution is wrapped around the circle infinitely many times. At first look, evaluation of its probability density function appears tedious as an…
A well-known challenge in the semantics of programming languages is how to combine non-determinism and probability. At a technical level, the problem arises from the fact that there is a no distributive law between the powerset monad and…
Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with…
The problem of finding itemsets that are statistically significantly enriched in a class of transactions is complicated by the need to correct for multiple hypothesis testing. Pruning untestable hypotheses was recently proposed as a…
We propose new generalized multivariate hypergeometric distributions, which extremely resemble the classical multivariate hypergeometric distributions. The proposed distributions are derived based on an urn model approach. In contrast to…
Finite frames can be viewed as mass points distributed in $N$-dimensional Euclidean space. As such they form a subclass of a larger and rich class of probability measures that we call probabilistic frames. We derive the basic properties of…
We consider multicolor urn models with multiple drawings. An urn model is called linear if the conditional expected value of the urn composition at time $n$ is a linear function of the composition at time $n-1$. For four different sampling…
We exhibit a functor from the category OUS of order unit spaces and positive, unit-preserving mappings into the category $\Prob$ of probabilistic models (test spaces with designated state spaces) and morphisms thereof. Restricted to any…
We make precise sense of the idea of "molecular chaos" through algorithmic randomness of microscopic trajectories, and ground macroscopic irreversibility in the lack of symmetry under time reversal of this property. This concept of…
The emergent field of probabilistic numerics has thus far lacked clear statistical principals. This paper establishes Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods as those which can be cast as solutions to certain inverse problems within the…
We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for $n$-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to $1/2$, that a throw from one die is…
Polytopes from subgraph statistics are important in applications and conjectures and theorems in extremal graph theory can be stated as properties of them. We have studied them with a view towards applications by inscribing large explicit…
It is well known that the output of a Neural Network trained to disentangle between two classes has a probabilistic interpretation in terms of the a-posteriori Bayesian probability, provided that a unary representation is taken for the…
Probability maps are additive and normalised maps taking values in the unit interval of a lattice ordered Abelian group. They appear in theory of affine representations and they are also a semantic counterpart of Hajek's probability logic.…
We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…
We study the infinite urn scheme when the balls are sequentially distributed over an infinite number of urns labelled 1,2,... so that the urn $j$ at every draw gets a ball with probability $p_j$, $\sum_j p_j=1$. We prove functional central…