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Spatially constrained clustering is an important field of research, particularly when it involves changes over time. Partitioning a map is not simple since there is a vast number of possible partitions within the search space. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Jessica Pavani , Rosangela Helena Loschi , Fernando Andres Quintana

The paper introduces an approach to identify a set of spatially constrained homogeneous areas maximally homogeneous in terms of epidemic trends. The proposed hierarchical algorithm is based on the Dynamic TimeWarping distances between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-08 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni , Giacomo Pignataro , Francesco Vidoli

Using anonymized mobility data from Facebook users and publicly available information on the Italian population, we model the circulation of people in Italy before and during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (COVID-19). We perform…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-09 Jules Morand , Shoichi Yip , Yannis Velegrakis , Gianluca Lattanzi , Raffaello Potestio , Luca Tubiana

Load modeling is difficult due to its uncertain and time-varying properties. Through the recently proposed ambient signals load modeling approach, these properties can be more frequently tracked. However, the large dataset of load modeling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-01 Xinran Zhang , David J. Hill

For the last few years, the amount of data has significantly increased in the companies. It is the reason why data analysis methods have to evolve to meet new demands. In this article, we introduce a practical analysis of a large database…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-02 Romain Guigourès , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

We describe an approach for identifying groups of dynamically similar locations in spatial time-series data based on a simple Markov transition model. We give maximum-likelihood, empirical Bayes, and fully Bayesian formulations of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-24 Edward B. Baskerville , Trevor Bedford , Robert C. Reiner , Mercedes Pascual

This paper examines the sociodemographic and socioeconomic determinants of regional commuter mobility in the Greater Stockholm Area using a heteroscedastic spatial Durbin panel data model estimated via Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Marina Toger , Umut Türk , John Östh , Manfred M. Fischer

Spatial connectivity is an important consideration when modelling infectious disease data across a geographical region. Connectivity can arise for many reasons, including shared characteristics between regions, and human or vector movement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Sophie A Lee , Theodoros Economou , Rachel Lowe

From a statistical point of view, crime data present certain peculiarities that have led to a growing interest in their analysis. In particular, a characteristic that some property crimes frequently present is the existence of uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Álvaro Briz-Redón

Fitting spatio-temporal models for areal data is crucial in many fields such as cancer epidemiology. However, when data sets are very large, many issues arise. The main objective of this paper is to propose a general procedure to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

We present a multivariate hierarchical space-time model to describe the joint series of monthly extreme temperatures and amounts of rainfall. Data are available for 360 monitoring stations over 60 years, with missing data affecting almost…

We propose a novel model-based clustering approach for samples of time series. We assume as a unique commonality that two observations belong to the same group if structural changes in their behaviours happen at the same time. We resort to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Riccardo Corradin , Luca Danese , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Andrea Ongaro

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

Mixture model-based clustering, usually applied to multidimensional data, has become a popular approach in many data analysis problems, both for its good statistical properties and for the simplicity of implementation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Allou Samé , Faicel Chamroukhi , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

In this paper, we focus on the stochastic block model (SBM),a probabilistic tool describing interactions between nodes of a network using latent clusters. The SBM assumes that the networkhas a stationary structure, in which connections of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-09 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

In epidemiological studies of air pollution and public health, estimating the health impact of exposure to air pollution may be hindered by the unknown functional form of the exposure-outcome association and by unmeasured confounding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Carlo Zaccardi , Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Traditional Bayesian random partition models assume that the size of each cluster grows linearly with the number of data points. While this is appealing for some applications, this assumption is not appropriate for other tasks such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Brenda Betancourt , Giacomo Zanella , Rebecca C. Steorts