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This paper provides data-dependent bounds on the expected error of the Gibbs algorithm in the overparameterized interpolation regime, where low training errors are also obtained for impossible data, such as random labels in classification.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Andreas Maurer , Erfan Mirzaei , Massimiliano Pontil

This note examines the behavior of generalization capabilities - as defined by out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE) - of Linear Gaussian (with a fixed design matrix) and Linear Least Squares regression. Particularly, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Karthik Duraisamy

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

This undergraduate thesis focuses on calculating maximum likelihood estimates of parameters in the generalized Gamma distribution using the SeLF algorithm. As an extension of the Gamma distribution, the generalized Gamma distribution can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Yufei Cai

The ability of machine learning (ML) algorithms to generalize well to unseen data has been studied through the lens of information theory, by bounding the generalization error with the input-output mutual information (MI), i.e., the MI…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kimia Nadjahi , Kristjan Greenewald , Rickard Brüel Gabrielsson , Justin Solomon

Generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error) measures how well the hypothesis learned from training data generalizes to previously unseen data. Proving tight generalization error bounds is a central question in statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jian Li , Xuanyuan Luo , Mingda Qiao

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

A well-known result across information theory, machine learning, and statistical physics shows that the maximum entropy distribution under a mean constraint has an exponential form called the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution. This is used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Amir R. Asadi , Emmanuel Abbe

In this paper I propose a generative model of supervised learning that unifies two approaches to supervised learning, using a concept of a correct loss function. Addressing two measurability problems, which have been ignored in statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Hông Vân Lê

We introduce the notion of Worst-Case Sensitivity, defined as the worst-case rate of increase in the expected cost of a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) model when the size of the uncertainty set vanishes. We show that worst-case…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-22 Jun-ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

In this paper, a new approach to computing the generalisation performance is presented that assumes the distribution of risks, $\rho(r)$, for a learning scenario is known. From this, the expected error of a learning machine using empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Antonia Marcu , Adam Prügel-Bennett

The primary objective of learning methods is generalization. Classic uniform generalization bounds, which rely on VC-dimension or Rademacher complexity, fail to explain the significant attribute that over-parameterized models in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Lijia Yu , Yibo Miao , Yifan Zhu , Xiao-Shan Gao , Lijun Zhang

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Established approaches to obtain generalization bounds in data-driven optimization and machine learning mostly build on solutions from empirical risk minimization (ERM), which depend crucially on the functional complexity of the hypothesis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Yibo Zeng , Henry Lam

We provide a simulation algorithm to simulate from a (multivariate) characteristic function, which is only accessible in a black-box format. The method is based on a generative neural network, whose loss function exploits a specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-17 Florian Brück

Learning-to-optimize leverages machine learning to accelerate optimization algorithms. While empirical results show tremendous improvements compared to classical optimization algorithms, theoretical guarantees are mostly lacking, such that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

A common architectural choice for deep metric learning is a convolutional neural network followed by global average pooling (GAP). Albeit simple, GAP is a highly effective way to aggregate information. One possible explanation for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Yeti Z. Gurbuz , Ozan Sener , A. Aydın Alatan

A stream of algorithmic advances has steadily increased the popularity of the Bayesian approach as an inference paradigm, both from the theoretical and applied perspective. Even with apparent successes in numerous application fields, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Owen Thomas , Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Minimax optimization has served as the backbone of many machine learning (ML) problems. Although the convergence behavior of optimization algorithms has been extensively studied in the minimax settings, their generalization guarantees in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Asuman Ozdaglar , Sarath Pattathil , Jiawei Zhang , Kaiqing Zhang

Accurate approximation of probability measures is essential in numerical applications. This paper explores the quantization of probability measures using the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) distance as a guiding metric. We first investigate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Zahra Mehraban , Alois Pichler
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