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Prediction markets show considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. Here, machine learning markets for multivariate systems are defined, and a utility-based framework is established for their analysis. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Amos Storkey

Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

This article is an introduction to machine learning for financial forecasting, planning and analysis (FP\&A). Machine learning appears well suited to support FP\&A with the highly automated extraction of information from large amounts of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-13 Helmut Wasserbacher , Martin Spindler

The cryptocurrency market is amongst the fastest-growing of all the financial markets in the world. Unlike traditional markets, such as equities, foreign exchange and commodities, cryptocurrency market is considered to have larger…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Fan Fang , Waichung Chung , Carmine Ventre , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , Fan Wu

To understand and predict the performance of scientific applications, several analytical and machine learning approaches have been proposed, each having its advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we propose and validate a hybrid…

Performance · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Huda Ibeid , Siping Meng , Oliver Dobon , Luke Olson , William Gropp

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

Given a batch of human computation tasks, a commonly ignored aspect is how the price (i.e., the reward paid to human workers) of these tasks must be set or varied in order to meet latency or cost constraints. Often, the price is set…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-28 Yihan Gao , Aditya Parameswaran

We revisit the problem of predicting directional movements of stock prices based on news articles: here our algorithm uses daily articles from The Wall Street Journal to predict the closing stock prices on the same day. We propose a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Felix Ming Fai Wong , Zhenming Liu , Mung Chiang

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Machine learning has been used in all kinds of fields. In this article, we introduce how machine learning can be applied into time series problem. Especially, we use the airline ticket prediction problem as our specific problem. Airline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Jun Lu

Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

This study aims to examine the challenges and applications of machine learning for financial research. Machine learning algorithms have been developed for certain data environments which substantially differ from the one we encounter in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Kristof Lommers , Ouns El Harzli , Jack Kim

Despite the efficient market hypothesis, many studies suggest the existence of inefficiencies in the stock market leading to the development of techniques to gain above-market returns. Systematic trading has undergone significant advances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Sungwoo Kang , Jong-Kook Kim

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

Stock return forecasting is of utmost importance in the business world. This has been the favourite topic of research for many academicians since decades. Recently, regularization techniques have reported to tremendously increase the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Kartikay Gupta , Niladri Chatterjee

We use a neural network to identify the optimal solution to a family of optimal investment problems, where the parameters determining an investor's risk and consumption preferences are given as inputs to the neural network in addition to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 John Armstrong , Cristin Buescu , James Dalby , Rohan Hobbs

Predictive monitoring of business processes is concerned with the prediction of ongoing cases on a business process. Lately, the popularity of deep learning techniques has propitiated an ever-growing set of approaches focused on predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi
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