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Related papers: Censored extreme value estimation

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Under general multivariate regular variation conditions, the extreme Value-at-Risk of a portfolio can be expressed as an integral of a known kernel with respect to a generally unknown spectral measure supported on the unit simplex. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Robert Yuen , Stilian Stoev , Dan Cooley

Extreme quantile treatment effects (eQTEs) measure the causal impact of a treatment on the tails of an outcome distribution and are central for studying rare, high-impact events. Standard QTE methods often fail in extreme regimes due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Mengran Li , Daniela Castro-Camilo

When analyzing time-to-event data, it often happens that some subjects do not experience the event of interest. Survival models that take this feature into account (called `cure models') have been developed in the presence of covariates.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

Identifying directions where extreme events occur is a major challenge in multivariate extreme value analysis. In this paper, we use the concept of sparse regular variation introduced by Meyer and Wintenberger (2021)} to infer the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Nicolas Meyer , Olivier Wintenberger

In several different fields, there is interest in analyzing the upper or lower tail quantile of the underlying distribution rather than mean or center quantile. However, the investigation of the tail quantile is difficult because of data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Takuma Yoshida

We propose a censored quantile regression estimator motivated by unbiased estimating equations. Under the usual conditional independence assumption of the survival time and the censoring time given the covariates, we show that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Chenlei Leng , Xingwei Tong

The generalized estimating equation (GEE) method is a popular tool for longitudinal data analysis. However, GEE produces biased estimates when the outcome of interest is associated with cluster size, a phenomenon known as informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Yue Ma , Haofeng Wang , Xuejun Jiang

In this paper, we investigate the problem of nonparametric monotone frontier estimation from the perspective of extreme value theory. This enables us to revisit the asymptotic theory of the popular free disposal hull estimator in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Abdelaati Daouia , Jean-Pierre Florens , Léopold Simar

In this article, we consider the estimation of unknown parameters of Weibull distribution when the lifetime data are observed in the presence of progressively type-I hybrid censoring scheme. The Newton-Raphson algorithm,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yasin Asar , R. Arabi Belaghi

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

We consider both $\ell _{0}$-penalized and $\ell _{0}$-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

The Kaplan--Meier (KM) estimator, which provides a nonparametric estimate of a survival function for time-to-event data, has wide application in clinical studies, engineering, economics and other fields. The theoretical properties of the KM…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 Jiaqi Gu , Yiwei Fan , Guosheng Yin

Across health applications, researchers model outcomes as a function of time to an event, but the event time is right-censored for participants who exit the study or otherwise do not experience the event during follow-up. When censoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Jesus E. Vazquez , Yanyuan Ma , Karen Marder , Tanya P. Garcia

Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Many common estimators in machine learning and causal inference are linear smoothers, where the prediction is a weighted average of the training outcomes. Some estimators, such as ordinary least squares and kernel ridge regression, allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 David Arbour , Harsh Parikh , Bijan Niknam , Elizabeth Stuart , Kara Rudolph , Avi Feller

We introduce a Bayesian quantile mixed-effects model for censored longitudinal outcomes based on the skew exponential power (SEP) error distribution. The SEP family separates tail behavior and skewness from the targeted quantile and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

Extreme value analysis for time series is often based on the block maxima method, in particular for environmental applications. In the classical univariate case, the latter is based on fitting an extreme-value distribution to the sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Axel Bücher , Erik Haufs

Estimation of extreme conditional quantiles is often required for risk assessment of natural hazards in climate and geo-environmental sciences and for quantitative risk management in statistical finance, econometrics, and actuarial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) difference offers an interpretable causal contrast to estimate the treatment effect for time-to-event outcomes, yet a wide range of available estimators leaves limited guidance for practice. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Charlotte Voinot , Clément Berenfeld , Imke Mayer , Bernard Sebastien , Julie Josse