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We present a numerical approach for estimating the probability density function (PDF) of quantities of interest (QoIs) of power grid systems subject to uncertain power generation and load fluctuations. In our approach, generation and load…

The requirements of modern sensing are rapidly evolving, driven by increasing demands for data efficiency, real-time processing, and deployment under limited sensing coverage. Complex physical systems are often characterized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yuxuan Bao , J. Nathan Kutz

In this paper we develop a new data-driven closure approximation method to compute the statistical properties of quantities of interest in high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. The new method relies on estimating conditional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Catherine Brennan , Daniele Venturi

Discrete fine-scale models, in the form of either particle or lattice models, have been formulated successfully to simulate the behavior of quasi-brittle materials whose mechanical behavior is inherently connected to fracture processes…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-02-17 Roozbeh Rezakhani , Gianluca Cusatis

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How

Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

In complex physical systems, conventional differential equations often fall short in capturing non-local and memory effects, as they are limited to local dynamics and integer-order interactions. This study introduces a stepwise data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Xiangnan Yu , Hao Xu , Zhiping Mao , HongGuang Sun , Yong Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

We present a contribution to the field of system identification of partial differential equations (PDEs), with emphasis on discerning between competing mathematical models of pattern-forming physics. The motivation comes from developmental…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Xun Huan , Krishna Garikipati

We study the average density of resonances (DOR) of a disordered one-dimensional continuous open system. The disordered system is semi-infinite, with white-noise random potential, and it is coupled to the external world by a semi-infinite…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Joshua Feinberg

Double porosity models for the liquid filtration in an absolutely rigid body is derived from homogenization theory. The governing equations of the fluid dynamics on the microscopic level consist of the Stokes system for a slightly…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Anvarbek Meirmanov

The normalized probability density function (PDF) of global measures of a large class of highly correlated systems has previously been demonstrated to fall on a single non-Gaussian "universal" curve. We derive the functional form of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

Robust optimization (RO) provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, but its performance critically depends on the choice of the uncertainty set. While large sets ensure reliability, they often lead to overly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Shuyi Chen , Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

The irreducibility is fundamental for the study of ergodicity of stochastic dynamical systems. The existing methods on the irreducibility of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and stochastic differential equations (SDEs)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jian Wang , Hao Yang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

We study Langevin dynamics with stochastic diffusivity arising from fluctuations of the surrounding medium. The diffusivity is modeled as Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by symmetric dichotomous noise, which confines it to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Dongho Lee , Jae-Hyung Jeon , Pascal Viot , Gleb Oshanin

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Xian Yu , Beste Basciftci

Implicit inverse problems, in which noisy observations of a physical quantity are used to infer a nonlinear functional applied to an associated function, are inherently ill posed and often exhibit non uniqueness of solutions. Such problems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Davide Parodi , Federico Benvenuto , Sara Garbarino , Michele Piana

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

Motivated by the statistical description of turbulence, we study statistical conservation laws in the form of kinetic-type PDEs for joint probability density functions (PDFs) and cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) associated with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Qian Huang , Christian Rohde

Discovering dynamical models to describe underlying dynamical behavior is essential to draw decisive conclusions and engineering studies, e.g., optimizing a process. Experimental data availability notwithstanding has increased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz
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