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We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

Fixing the relationship of a set of experimental quantities is a fundamental issue in many scientific disciplines. In the 2D case, the classical approach is to compute the linear correlation coefficient from a scatterplot. This method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-21 Roberto Vio , Thomas W. Nagler , Paola Andreani

A novel approach for dynamic modeling and forecasting of realized covariance matrices is proposed. Realized variances and realized correlation matrices are jointly estimated. The one-to-one relationship between a positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-18 Nicole Barthel , Claudia Czado , Yarema Okhrin

Vine copulas are a type of multivariate dependence model, composed of a collection of bivariate copulas that are combined according to a specific underlying graphical structure. Their flexibility and practicality in moderate and high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

A pair-copula construction is a decomposition of a multivariate copula into a structured system, called regular vine, of bivariate copulae or pair-copulae. The standard practice is to model these pair-copulae parametrically, which comes at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-26 Ingrid Hobaek Haff , Johan Segers

Graphical models are a key class of probabilistic models for studying the conditional independence structure of a set of random variables. Circular variables are special variables, characterized by periodicity, arising in several contexts…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Anna Gottard , Agnese Panzera

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

The study of dependence between random variables is the core of theoretical and applied statistics. Static and dynamic copula models are useful for describing the dependence structure, which is fully encrypted in the copula probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Dominque Guégan , Matteo Iacopini

This paper intends to develop tools for characterizing non-linear spectral dependence between spontaneous brain signals. We use parametric copula models (both bivariate and vine models) applied on the magnitude of Fourier coefficients…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-25 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

Simultaneous recordings from many neurons hide important information and the connections characterizing the network remain generally undiscovered despite the progresses of statistical and machine learning techniques. Discerning the presence…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-21 Pietro Verzelli , Laura Sacerdote

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

There exist many bivariate parametric copulas to model bivariate data with different dependence features. We propose a new bivariate parametric copula family that cannot only handle various dependence patterns that appear in the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-30 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We propose a novel framework for approximate factor models that integrates an S-vine copula structure to capture complex dependencies among common factors. Our estimation procedure proceeds in two steps: first, we apply principal component…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Jialing Han , Yu-Ning Li

Vine copulas are flexible dependence models using bivariate copulas as building blocks. If the parameters of the bivariate copulas in the vine copula depend on covariates, one obtains a conditional vine copula. We propose an extension for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

In this paper, we propose a new flexible family of distributions for data that consist of three angles, two angles and one linear component, or one angle and two linear components. To achieve this, we equip the recently proposed trivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Sophia Loizidou , Christophe Ley , Shogo Kato , Kanti V. Mardia

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu