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In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

We propose a novel graphical model selection (GMS) scheme for high-dimensional stationary time series or discrete time process. The method is based on a natural generalization of the graphical LASSO (gLASSO), introduced originally for GMS…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Alexander Jung , Gabor Hannak , Norbert Görtz

This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun

Automatic forecasting is the task of receiving a time series and returning a forecast for the next time steps without any human intervention. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for modeling time series, but so far there are no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

In this study, we introduce Generative Manufacturing Systems (GMS) as a novel approach to effectively manage and coordinate autonomous manufacturing assets, thereby enhancing their responsiveness and flexibility to address a wide array of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Xingyu Li , Fei Tao , Wei Ye , Aydin Nassehi , John W. Sutherland

Conditional time series generation plays a critical role in addressing data scarcity and enabling causal analysis in real-world applications. Despite its increasing importance, the field lacks a standardized and systematic benchmarking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Shaocheng Lan , Shuqi Gu , Zhangzhi Xiong , Kan Ren

Industrial Multivariate Time Series (MTS) is a critical view of the industrial field for people to understand the state of machines. However, due to data collection difficulty and privacy concerns, available data for building industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Lei Ren , Haiteng Wang , Yuanjun Laili

Real-world time series typically exhibit complex temporal variations, making the time series classification task notably challenging. Recent advancements have demonstrated the potential of multi-scale analysis approaches, which provide an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Binwu Wang , Xuan Tang , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Yongsheng Huang , Bin Zhang

Uncertainty quantification of predictive models is crucial in decision-making problems. Conformal prediction is a general and theoretically sound answer. However, it requires exchangeable data, excluding time series. While recent works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-16 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Olivier Féron , Yannig Goude , Julie Josse

Time series data in real-world scenarios contain a substantial amount of nonlinear information, which significantly interferes with the training process of models, leading to decreased prediction performance. Therefore, during the time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Dandan Zhang , Zhiqiang Zhang , Nanguang Chen , Yun Wang

We present Mask CTC, a novel non-autoregressive end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) framework, which generates a sequence by refining outputs of the connectionist temporal classification (CTC). Neural sequence-to-sequence models…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Yosuke Higuchi , Shinji Watanabe , Nanxin Chen , Tetsuji Ogawa , Tetsunori Kobayashi

Symbolic representations of time series have proven to be effective for time series classification, with many recent approaches including SAX-VSM, BOSS, WEASEL, and MrSEQL. The key idea is to transform numerical time series to symbolic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Thach Le Nguyen , Georgiana Ifrim

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

Univariate time series (UTS), where each timestamp records a single variable, serve as crucial indicators in web systems and cloud servers. Anomaly detection in UTS plays an essential role in both data mining and system reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Lingpei Zhang , Qingming Li , Yong Yang , Jiahao Chen , Rui Zeng , Chenyang Lyu , Shouling Ji

We propose an interactive methodology for generating counterfactual explanations for univariate time series data in classification tasks by leveraging 2D projections and decision boundary maps to tackle interpretability challenges. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Udo Schlegel , Julius Rauscher , Daniel A. Keim

As AI systems become increasingly integrated into our daily lives and into wearable form factors, there's a fundamental tension between their potential to proactively assist us and the risk of creating intrusive, dependency-forming…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Cathy Mengying Fang , Wazeer Zulfikar , Yasith Samaradivakara , Suranga Nanayakkara , Pattie Maes

This paper is a contribution towards interpretability of the deep learning models in different applications of time-series. We propose a temporal attention layer that is capable of selecting the relevant information to perform various…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Phongtharin Vinayavekhin , Subhajit Chaudhury , Asim Munawar , Don Joven Agravante , Giovanni De Magistris , Daiki Kimura , Ryuki Tachibana

Time perception - how humans and animals perceive the passage of time - forms the basis for important cognitive skills such as decision-making, planning, and communication. In this work, we propose a framework for examining the mechanisms…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-08 Inês Lourenço , Robert Mattila , Rodrigo Ventura , Bo Wahlberg

Click-through rate prediction plays an important role in the field of recommender system and many other applications. Existing methods mainly extract user interests from user historical behaviors. However, behavioral sequences only contain…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Yunfei Chu , Xiaofu Chang , Kunyang Jia , Jingzhen Zhou , Hongxia Yang
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