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The Lonely Runner Conjecture was posed independently by Wills and Cusick and has many applications in different mathematical fields, such as diophantine approximation. This well-known conjecture states that for any set of runners running…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Guillem Perarnau , Oriol Serra

The Bayesian framework is ideally suited for induction problems. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations $x_1...x_{t-1}$ can be computed with Bayes' rule if the true distribution $\mu$ of the sequences…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

We study an example of a {\em hit-and-run} random walk on the symmetric group $\mathbf S_n$. Our starting point is the well understood {\em top-to-random} shuffle. In the hit-and-run version, at each {\em single step}, after picking the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Samuel Boardman , Daniel Rudolf , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

We study the biased random walk in positive random conductances on $\mathbb {Z}^d$. This walk is transient in the direction of the bias. Our main result is that the random walk is ballistic if, and only if, the conductances have finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-16 Alexander Fribergh

We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

Let $(Y_n)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. $\mathbb Z$-valued random variables with law $\mu$. The reflected random walk $(X_n)$ is defined recursively by $X_0=x \in \mathbb N_0, X_{n+1}=|X_n+Y_{n+1}|$. Under mild hypotheses on the law $\mu$, it…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-02 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné

First-passage properties of continuous stochastic processes confined in a 1--dimensional interval are well described. However, for jump processes (discrete random walks), the characterization of the corresponding observables remains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-17 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for $n$-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to $1/2$, that a throw from one die is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jan Hązła , Elchanan Mossel , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

A random walk in a sparse random environment is a model introduced by Matzavinos et al. [Electron. J. Probab. 21, paper no. 72: 2016] as a generalization of both a simple symmetric random walk and a classical random walk in a random…

We consider a random walk among i.i.d. obstacles on the one dimensional integer lattice under the condition that the walk starts from the origin and reaches a remote location y. The obstacles are represented by a killing potential, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Elena Kosygina

Given a skew-symmetric matrix, the corresponding two-player symmetric zero-sum game is defined as follows: one player, the row player, chooses a row and the other player, the column player, chooses a column. The payoff of the row player is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Florian Brandl

Motivated by a problem posed by Aldous, our goal is to find the maximal-entropy win-martingale: In a sports game between two teams, the chance the home team wins is initially $x_0 \in (0,1)$ and finally 0 or 1. As an idealization we take a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Mathias Beiglboeck

Consider the following broadcasting process run on a connected graph $G=(V,E)$. Suppose that $k \ge 2$ agents start on vertices selected from $V$ uniformly and independently at random. One of the agents has a message that she wants to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Reaz Huq , Pawel Pralat

Consider two random walks on $\mathbb{Z}$. The transition probabilities of each walk is dependent on trajectory of the other walker i.e. a drift $p>1/2$ is obtained in a position the other walker visited twice or more. This simple model has…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Noam Berger , Eviatar B. Procaccia

The time dependence of the survival probability, S(t), is determined for diffusing particles in two dimensions which are also driven by a random unidirectional zero-mean velocity field, v_x(y). For a semi-infinite system with unbounded y…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Sidney Redner

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

Let $N$ and $M$ be positive integers satisfying $1\le M\le N$, and let $0<p_0<p_1<1$. Define a process $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ as follows. At each step, the process jumps either one step to the right or one step to the left,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Ross G. Pinsky

An object is hidden in one of $N$ boxes. Initially, the probability that it is in box $i$ is $\pi_i(0)$. You then search in continuous time, observing box $J_t$ at time $t$, and receiving a signal as you observe: if the box you are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Philip Ernst , L. C. G. Rogers , Quan Zhou

We study one-dimensional excited random walks with non-nearest neighbor jumps. When the process is at a vertex that has not been visited before, its next transition has a positive drift to the right, possibly with long jumps. Whenever the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Tuan-Minh Nguyen