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This paper presents conservative probabilistic bounds for the spectrum of the admittance matrix and classical linear power flow models under uncertain network parameters; for example, probabilistic line contingencies. Our proposed approach…

The rapid growth of large data center loads and inverter-based generation is increasing the stress on transmission networks, while expanding grid capacity at the required pace remains challenging. Power flow controllers (PFCs) that adjust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Eric Haag , Yuhao Chen , Giri Venkataramanan , Manish K. Singh

In this paper, we present a closed-form model for the analytical computation of the power flow sensitivity coefficients (SCs) for hybrid AC/DC networks. The SCs are defined as the partial derivates of the nodal voltages with respect to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-02 Willem Lambrichts , Mario Paolone

Probabilistic power flow (PPF) is essential for quantifying operational uncertainty in modern distribution systems with high penetration of renewable generation and flexible loads. Conventional PPF methods primarily rely on Monte Carlo (MC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Weijie Xia , James Ciyu Qin , Edgar Mauricio Salazar Duque , Hongjin Du , Peter Palensky , Giovanni Sansavini , Pedro P. Vergara

Power grids vulnerability is a key issue in society. A component failure may trigger cascades of failures across the grid and lead to a large blackout. Complex network approaches have shown a direction to study some of the problems faced by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-22 Trivik Verma , Wendy Ellens , Robert E. Kooij

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

The centrality measure (CM) is one of the most fundamental metrics for evaluating the efficiency and vulnerability analysis of complex power grids (CPGs). Despite an abundance of different CMs for individual nodes, there are only a few…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-17 Somnath Maity , Premananda Panigrahi

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are used to assess and improve engineering models. In this study, various methods of SA and UQ are described and applied in theoretical and practical examples for use in energy…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Majdi I. Radaideh , Mohammad I. Radaideh

A framework is developed based on different uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques in order to assess validation and verification (V&V) metrics in computational physics problems, in general, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD), in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Philipp Schlatter

Continuous-time random disturbances (also called stochastic excitations) due to increasing renewable generation have an increasing impact on power system dynamics; However, except from the Monte Carlo simulation, most existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

In this work, we propose a non-parametric probabilistic load flow (NP-PLF) technique based on the Gaussian Process (GP) learning to understand the power system behavior under uncertainty for better operational decisions. The technique can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Parikshit Pareek , Chuan Wang , Hung D. Nguyen

Sensor measurements are mission-critical for monitoring and controlling power systems because they provide real-time insight into the grid operating condition; however, confidence in these insights depends greatly on the quality of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-27 P. Algikar , P. Sharma , M. Netto , L. Mili

The power flow equations relate bus voltage phasors to power injections via the network admittance matrix. These equations are central to the key operational and protection functions of power systems (e.g., optimal power flow scheduling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Samuel Talkington , Daniel Turizo , Sergio A. Dorado-Rojas , Rahul K. Gupta , Daniel K. Molzahn

The increasing use of power electronics converters to integrate renewable energy sources has been subject of concern due to the resonance oscillatory phenomena caused by their interaction with poorly damped AC networks. Early studies are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-02 Luis Orellana , Luis Sainz , Eduardo Prieto-Araujo , Oriol Gomis-Bellmunt

Classifiers based on neural networks (NN) often lack a measure of uncertainty in the predicted class. We propose a method to estimate the probability mass function (PMF) of the different classes, as well as the covariance of the estimated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Magnus Malmström , Isaac Skog , Daniel Axehill , Fredrik Gustafsson

Many applications in aerodynamics, particularly in closed-loop control, depend on sensors to estimate the evolving state of the flow. This estimation task is inherently accompanied by uncertainty due to the noisy measurements of sensors or…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-07 Jeff D. Eldredge , Hanieh Mousavi

Power converters are present in increasing numbers in the electric power grid. They are a major source of harmonic currents and voltages, which can reduce power quality and trip protection devices. The frequency coupling matrix (FCM) is a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Antoine Lesage-Landry , Siyu Chen , Joshua A. Taylor
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