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Can the direction of time and the causal structure of space-time be inferred from operational principles? Causal models and tensor networks offer complementary perspectives: the former encodes cause-effect relations via directed graphs,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Carla Ferradini , Giulia Mazzola , V. Vilasini

Causal inference in spatial domains faces two intertwined challenges: (1) unmeasured spatial factors, such as weather, air pollution, or mobility, that confound treatment and outcome, and (2) interference from nearby treatments that violate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Ayush Khot , Miruna Oprescu , Maresa Schröder , Ai Kagawa , Xihaier Luo

Boundary time crystals (BTCs) break time-translation symmetry and exhibit long-lived, robust oscillations insensitive to initial conditions. We show that collective spin BTCs can admit emergent topological winding numbers in operator space.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-23 Dominik Nemeth , Ahsan Nazir , Alessandro Principi , Robert-Jan Slager

This paper applies Benders decomposition to two-stage stochastic problems for energy planning under climate uncertainty, a key problem for the design of renewable energy systems. To improve performance, we adapt various refinements for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Leonard Göke , Felix Schmidt , Mario Kendziorski

Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) forecasting is a fundamental task in many real-world applications. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks have emerged as the most popular method for STG forecasting, but they often struggle with temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Xu Liu , Kun Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Roger Zimmermann

Effective investment planning decisions are crucial to ensure cyber-physical infrastructures satisfy performance requirements over an extended time horizon. Computing these decisions often requires solving Capacity Expansion Problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Aron Brenner , Rahman Khorramfar , Saurabh Amin

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

With the modern software and online platforms to collect massive amount of data, there is an increasing demand of applying causal inference methods at large scale when randomized experimentation is not viable. Weighting methods that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-04 Sicheng Lin , Meng Xu , Xi Zhang , Shih-Kang Chao , Ying-Kai Huang , Xiaolin Shi

To understand the fairness properties of the BBR congestion-control algorithm (CCA), previous research has analyzed BBR behavior with a variety of models. However, previous model-based work suffers from a trade-off between accuracy and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Simon Scherrer , Adrian Perrig , Stefan Schmid

Existing trajectory planning methods are struggling to handle the issue of autonomous track swinging during navigation, resulting in significant errors when reaching the destination. In this article, we address autonomous trajectory…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Hao Zhu , Kefan Jin , Rui Gao , Jialin Wang , C. -J. Richard Shi

Emerging tensor network techniques for solutions of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), known for their ability to break the curse of dimensionality, deliver new mathematical methods for ultrafast numerical solutions of high-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Dibyendu Adak , Duc P. Truong , Gianmarco Manzini , Kim Ø. Rasmussen , Boian S. Alexandrov

Estimating the causal effect of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes is a challenging task in many domains, particularly in medicine where treatment protocols adapt over time. While recent advances in representation learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Ayoub Abraich

Public transit systems are the backbone of urban mobility systems in the era of urbanization. The design of transit schedules is important for the efficient and sustainable operation of public transit. However, previous studies usually…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Xiaotong Guo , Baichuan Mo , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

The widespread availability of complex time series data in various domains such as environmental science, epidemiology, and economics demands robust causal discovery methods that can identify intricate contemporaneous and lagged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

The scientific rigor and computational methods of causal inference have had great impacts on many disciplines, but have only recently begun to take hold in spatial applications. Spatial casual inference poses analytic challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Brian J Reich , Shu Yang , Yawen Guan , Andrew B Giffin , Matthew J Miller , Ana G Rappold

This work introduces a new method to efficiently solve optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain coefficients. The method leverages two sources of inexactness that trade accuracy for speed:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Matthew J. Zahr , Kevin T. Carlberg , Drew P. Kouri

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Antonios Tziorvas , George S. Theodoropoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

ExponenTial Smoothing (ETS) is a widely adopted forecasting technique in both research and practical applications. One critical development in ETS was the establishment of a robust statistical foundation based on state space models with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Diego J. Pedregal , Juan R. Trapero , Enrique Holgado