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In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

Numerous variable selection methods rely on a two-stage procedure, where a sparsity-inducing penalty is used in the first stage to predict the support, which is then conveyed to the second stage for estimation or inference purposes. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-28 Jean-Michel Bécu , Yves Grandvalet , Christophe Ambroise , Cyril Dalmasso

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

Predicting risks of chronic diseases has become increasingly important in clinical practice. When a prediction model is developed in a given source cohort, there is often a great interest to apply the model to other cohorts. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Zheng Jiayin , Zheng Yingye , Hsu Li

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely used in clinical trials to balance prognostic factors, and regression adjustments are often adopted to further enhance the estimation and inference efficiency. In practice, the covariates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Wanjia Fu , Yingying Ma , Hanzhong Liu

While extensive work has been done to correct for biases due to measurement error in scalar-valued covariates prone to errors in generalized linear regression models, limited work has been done to address biases associated with functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yuanyuan Luan , Roger S. Zoh , Sneha Jadhav , Lan Xue , Carmen D. Tekwe

Instrumental variables (IV) regression is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in settings where receipt of treatment is not fully random, but there exists an instrument that generates exogenous variation in treatment exposure.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-10 Stephen Coussens , Jann Spiess

Optimization problems with the objective function in the form of weighted sum and linear equality constraints are considered. Given that the number of local cost functions can be large as well as the number of constraints, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Nataša Krejić , Nataša Krklec Jerinkić , Sanja Rapajić , Luka Rutešić

Recent years have witnessed amazing outcomes from "Big Models" trained by "Big Data". Most popular algorithms for model training are iterative. Due to the surging volumes of data, we can usually afford to process only a fraction of the…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Jinyang Gao , H. V. Jagadish , Beng Chin Ooi

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Stepped-wedge designs are increasingly used in randomized experiments to accommodate logistical and ethical constraints by staggering treatment roll-out over time. Despite their popularity, existing analytical methods largely rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Liangbo Lyu , Bingkai Wang

Generalized method of moments estimators based on higher-order moment conditions derived from independent shocks can be used to identify and estimate the simultaneous interaction in structural vector autoregressions. This study highlights…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-13 Sascha A. Keweloh

In modern randomized experiments, large-scale data collection increasingly yields rich baseline covariates and auxiliary information from multiple sources. Such information offers opportunities for more precise treatment effect estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Wei Ma , Zeqi Wu , Zheng Zhang

There has been recent growth in small area estimation due to the need for more precise estimation of small geographic areas, which has led to groups such as the U.S. Census Bureau, Google, and the RAND corporation utilizing small area…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-17 Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

Epidemiological compartmental models are useful for understanding infectious disease propagation and directing public health policy decisions. Calibration of these models is an important step in offering accurate forecasts of disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Nikunj Gupta , Anh Mai , Azza Abouzied , Dennis Shasha

We propose a multi-threshold change plane regression model which naturally partitions the observed subjects into subgroups with different covariate effects. The underlying grouping variable is a linear function of covariates and thus…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jialiang Li , Yaguang Li , Baisuo Jin

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Deep models are designed to operate on huge volumes of high dimensional data such as images. In order to reduce the volume of data these models must process, we propose a set-based two-stage end-to-end neural subsampling model that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bruno Andreis , Seanie Lee , A. Tuan Nguyen , Juho Lee , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang

Biomedical researchers usually study the effects of certain exposures on disease risks among a well-defined population. To achieve this goal, the gold standard is to design a trial with an appropriate sample from that population. Due to the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-18 Cheng Zheng , Sayan Dasgupta , Yuxiang Xie , Asad Haris , Ying Qing Chen