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This paper develops the theory and methods for modeling a stationary count time series via Gaussian transformations. The techniques use a latent Gaussian process and a distributional transformation to construct stationary series with very…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Yisu Jia , Stefanos Kechagias , James Livsey , Robert Lund , Vladas Pipiras

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

This paper presents a study of power series distributions (PSD) with prescribed covariance characteristics. Such distributions constitute a fundamental class in probability theory and mathematical statistics, as they generalize a wide range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Oleksandr Volkov , Yurii Volkov , Nataliia Voinalovych

We introduce a general class of autoregressive models for studying the dynamic of multivariate binary time series with stationary exogenous covariates. Using a high-level set of assumptions, we show that existence of a stationary path for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Guillaume Franchi , Lionel Truquet

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

Binary machines are a generalization of Feedback Shift Registers (FSRs) in which both, feedback and feedforward, connections are allowed and no chain connection between the register stages is required. In this paper, we present an algorithm…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2011-05-24 Elena Dubrova

Bootstrap methods for estimating the long-run covariance of stationary functional time series are considered. We introduce a versatile bootstrap method that relies on functional principal component analysis, where principal component scores…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-05 Han Lin Shang

What basic processes generate hierarchy in a collective? The Bonabeau model provides us a simple mechanism based on randomness which develops self-organization through both winner/looser effects and relaxation process. A phase transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Lucas Lacasa , Bartolo Luque

Factor-based Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) relies on likelihood-based estimation assuming a nonsingular sample covariance matrix, which breaks down in small-sample settings with $p>n$. To address this, we propose a novel estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Hiroki Hasegawa , Aoba Tamura , Yukihiko Okada

In modeling spatial processes, a second-order stationarity assumption is often made. However, for spatial data observed on a vast domain, the covariance function often varies over space, leading to a heterogeneous spatial dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun , Sebastian Kurtek

Policymakers in resource-constrained settings require experimental designs that satisfy strict budget limits while ensuring precise estimation of treatment effects. We propose a framework that applies a dependent randomized rounding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-17 Khurram Yamin , Edward Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

This paper presents a framework for binary autoregressive time series in which each observation is a Bernoulli variable whose success probability evolves with past outcomes and probabilities, in the spirit of GARCH-type dynamics,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-17 Anna Bykhovskaya , Nour Meddahi

We propose a novel training method based on nonlinear multilevel minimization techniques, commonly used for solving discretized large scale partial differential equations. Our multilevel training method constructs a multilevel hierarchy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Vanessa Braglia , Alena Kopaničáková , Rolf Krause

We present some new results about covariants in small characteristic. In section 1, we give a method to construct covariants using an approach similar to Sturmfels. We apply our method to find a separating system of covariants for binary…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Florent Ulpat Rovetta

Graphs are widely used for describing systems made up of many interacting components and for understanding the structure of their interactions. Various statistical models exist, which describe this structure as the result of a combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-28 Louis Duvivier , Rémy Cazabet , Céline Robardet

This paper considers regression tasks involving high-dimensional multivariate processes whose structure is dependent on some {known} graph topology. We put forth a new definition of time-vertex wide-sense stationarity, or joint stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Andreas Loukas , Nathanaël Perraudin

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

Over the last few years, network science has proved to be useful in modeling a variety of complex systems, composed of a large number of interconnected units. The intricate pattern of interactions often allows the system to achieve complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-30 Jean-François de Kemmeter , Timoteo Carletti

We describe a new class of self-similar symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes with stationary increments arising as a large time scale limit in a situation where many users are earning random rewards or incurring random costs. The resulting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Serge Cohen , Gennady Samorodnitsky
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