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In likelihood-free settings where likelihood evaluations are intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) addresses the formidable inference task to discover plausible parameters of simulation programs that explain the observations.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kelvin Hsu , Fabio Ramos

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

Data analysis in science, e.g., high-energy particle physics, is often subject to an intractable likelihood if the observables and observations span a high-dimensional input space. Typically the problem is solved by reducing the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-14 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast

In many statistical problems, the data distribution is specified through a generative process for which the likelihood function is analytically intractable, yet inference on the associated model parameters remains of primary interest. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Haoyu Jiang , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

I consider two problems in machine learning and statistics: the problem of estimating the joint probability density of a collection of random variables, known as density estimation, and the problem of inferring model parameters when their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 George Papamakarios

Normalizing Flows explicitly maximize a full-dimensional likelihood on the training data. However, real data is typically only supported on a lower-dimensional manifold leading the model to expend significant compute on modeling noise.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Sorrenson , Felix Draxler , Armand Rousselot , Sander Hummerich , Lea Zimmermann , Ullrich Köthe

This paper presents a parameter scan technique for BSM signal models based on normalizing flow. Normalizing flow is a type of deep learning model that transforms a simple probability distribution into a complex probability distribution as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Masahiko Saito , Masahiro Morinaga , Tomoe Kishimoto , Junichi Tanaka

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Christopher Drovandi , David T Frazier

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

We study the problem of learning similarity by using nonlinear embedding models (e.g., neural networks) from all possible pairs. This problem is well-known for its difficulty of training with the extreme number of pairs. For the special…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Bowen Yuan , Yu-Sheng Li , Pengrui Quan , Chih-Jen Lin

Likelihood ratios are used for a variety of applications in particle physics data analysis, including parameter estimation, unfolding, and anomaly detection. When the data are high-dimensional, neural networks provide an effective tools for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-27 Fernando Torales Acosta , Tanvi Wamorkar , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman

Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-04 Arrykrishna Mootoovaloo , Carlos García-García , David Alonso , Jaime Ruiz-Zapatero

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

In many optimization problems in wireless communications, the expressions of objective function or constraints are hard or even impossible to derive, which makes the solutions difficult to find. In this paper, we propose a model-free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Chengjian Sun , Dong Liu , Chenyang Yang

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function and its derivatives. Here we propose a new parameter estimation technique that does not require computing an intractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference methods yield posterior approximations for simulator models with intractable likelihood. Recently, many works trained neural networks to approximate either the intractable likelihood or the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-01 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Ritabrata Dutta

Generalising well in supervised learning tasks relies on correctly extrapolating the training data to a large region of the input space. One way to achieve this is to constrain the predictions to be invariant to transformations on the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Mark van der Wilk , Matthias Bauer , ST John , James Hensman

To model manifold data using normalizing flows, we employ isometric autoencoders to design embeddings with explicit inverses that do not distort the probability distribution. Using isometries separates manifold learning and density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Eike Cramer , Felix Rauh , Alexander Mitsos , Raúl Tempone , Manuel Dahmen

Event reconstruction is a central step in many particle physics experiments, turning detector observables into parameter estimates; for example estimating the energy of an interaction given the sensor readout of a detector. A corresponding…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-01-11 Philipp Eller , Aaron Fienberg , Jan Weldert , Garrett Wendel , Sebastian Böser , D. F. Cowen