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Related papers: Extrapolating tipping points and simulating non-st…

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In this paper we consider the machine learning (ML) task of predicting tipping point transitions and long-term post-tipping-point behavior associated with the time evolution of an unknown (or partially unknown), non-stationary, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dhruvit Patel , Edward Ott

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Complex dynamical systems-such as climate, ecosystems, and economics-can undergo catastrophic and potentially irreversible regime changes, often triggered by environmental parameter drift and stochastic disturbances. These critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xin Li , Qunxi Zhu , Chengli Zhao , Bolin Zhao , Xue Zhang , Xiaojun Duan , Wei Lin

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

We study the problem of predicting rare critical transition events for a class of slow-fast nonlinear dynamical systems. The state of the system of interest is described by a slow process, whereas a faster process drives its evolution and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-14 Soon Hoe Lim , Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Woosok Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Reservoir computing has been shown to be a useful framework for predicting critical transitions of a dynamical system if the bifurcation parameter is also provided as an input. Its utility is significant because in real-world scenarios, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-07-23 Dishant Sisodia , Sarika Jalan

Controlling nonlinear dynamical systems using machine learning allows to not only drive systems into simple behavior like periodicity but also to more complex arbitrary dynamics. For this, it is crucial that a machine learning system can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Alexander Haluszczynski , Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth

Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Chengzuo Zhuge , Jiawei Li , Wei Chen

Artificial Recurrent Neural Networks are a powerful information processing abstraction, and Reservoir Computing provides an efficient strategy to build robust implementations by projecting external inputs into high dimensional dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Claudio Gallicchio , Alessio Micheli , Luca Silvestri

We present a machine-learning method for predicting sharp transitions in a Hamiltonian phase diagram by extrapolating the properties of quantum systems. The method is based on Gaussian Process regression with a combination of kernels chosen…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-04-26 Rodrigo A. Vargas-Hernández , John Sous , Mona Berciu , Roman V. Krems

Reservoir computing is a best-in-class machine learning algorithm for processing information generated by dynamical systems using observed time-series data. Importantly, it requires very small training data sets, uses linear optimization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Daniel J. Gauthier , Erik Bollt , Aaron Griffith , Wendson A. S. Barbosa

Transformer architectures have recently surged as promising solutions for nonlinear dynamical systems, proposed as foundation models capable of zero-shot dynamics reconstruction and forecasting. Despite this success, it remains unclear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-06 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Celso Grebogi , Ying-Cheng Lai

Reservoir computing is a machine learning approach that can generate a surrogate model of a dynamical system. It can learn the underlying dynamical system using fewer trainable parameters and hence smaller training data sets than competing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer , André Röhm

To predict a critical transition due to parameter drift without relying on model is an outstanding problem in nonlinear dynamics and applied fields. A closely related problem is to predict whether the system is already in or if the system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Ling-Wei Kong , Hua-Wei Fan , Celso Grebogi , Ying-Cheng Lai

We propose and demonstrate a nonlinear control method that can be applied to unknown, complex systems where the controller is based on a type of artificial neural network known as a reservoir computer. In contrast to many modern…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-07 Daniel Canaday , Andrew Pomerance , Daniel J Gauthier

We present a novel, model-free, and data-driven methodology for controlling complex dynamical systems into previously unseen target states, including those with significantly different and complex dynamics. Leveraging a parameter-aware…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-13 Daniel Köglmayr , Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

We demonstrate a data-driven technique for adaptive control in dynamical systems that exploits the reservoir computing method. We show that a reservoir computer can be trained to predict a system parameter from the time series data.…

Reservoir computing - information processing based on untrained recurrent neural networks with random connections - is expected to depend on the nonlinear properties of the neurons and the resulting oscillatory, chaotic, or fixpoint…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Claus Metzner , Achim Schilling , Andreas Maier , Patrick Krauss

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Nonlinear stochastic modeling is useful for describing complex engineering systems. Meanwhile, neuromorphic (brain-inspired) computing paradigms are developing to tackle tasks that are challenging and resource intensive on digital…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-19 J. Chen , H. I. Nurdin
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