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We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the Climatological Renewable Energy Deviation Index (CREDI) as the cumulative anomaly of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Laurens P. Stoop , Karin van der Wiel , William Zappa , Arno Haverkamp , Ad J. Feelders , Machteld van den Broek

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Spatial prediction of weather-elements like temperature, precipitation, and barometric pressure are generally based on satellite imagery or data collected at ground-stations. None of these data provide information at a more granular or…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Arnab Chakraborty , Soumendra Nath Lahiri , Alyson Wilson

Today we have access to a vast amount of weather, air quality, noise or radioactivity data collected by individual around the globe. This volunteered geographic information often contains data of uncertain and of heterogeneous quality, in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-03 Julian Bruns , Johannes Riesterer , Bowen Wang , Till Riedel , Micheal Beigl

Electrification of transport compounded with climate change will transform hourly load profiles and their response to weather. Power system operators and EV charging stakeholders require such high-resolution load profiles for their planning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-08 Samrat Acharya , Malini Ghosal , Travis Thurber , Casey D. Burleyson , Yang Ou , Allison Campbell , Gokul Iyer , Nathalie Voisin , Jason Fuller

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

To mitigate the impacts associated with adverse weather conditions, meteorological services issue weather warnings to the general public. These warnings rely heavily on forecasts issued by underlying prediction systems. When deciding which…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-13 Sam Allen , Jonas Bhend , Olivia Martius , Johanna Ziegel

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

In Earth sciences, unobserved factors exhibit non-stationary spatial distributions, causing the relationships between features and targets to display spatial heterogeneity. In geographic machine learning tasks, conventional statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Siqi Du , Hongsheng Huang , Kaixin Shen , Ziqi Liu , Shengjun Tang

Trends in terrestrial temperature variability are perhaps more relevant for species viability than trends in mean temperature. In this paper, we develop methodology for estimating such trends using multi-resolution climate data from polar…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-23 Arash Khodadadi , Daniel J McDonald

The Earth is a system of numerous interconnected spheres, such as the climate. Climate's global and regional influence requires understanding its evolution in space and time to improve knowledge and forecasts. Analyzing and studying decades…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 E Ankitha Reddy , KS Rajan

Advances in IoT technologies combined with new algorithms have enabled the collection and processing of high-rate multi-source data streams that quantify human behavior in a fine-grained level and can lead to deeper insights on individual…

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

We develop a unified statistical framework for attributing heatwaves as spatio-temporal phenomena under climate change. We quantify the impact of anthropogenic forcing on the probability and persistence of heatwaves not captured by standard…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Kamal Gasser , Johan Segers , Francesco Ragone

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation have been proposed which allow for using new input data…

Geography, including climatic factors, have long been considered potentially important elements in shaping socio-economic activities, alongside other determinants, such as institutions. Here we demonstrate that geography and climate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-04 Alberto Troccoli

In the context of municipal heat planning, it is imperative to consider the numerous buildings, numbering in the hundreds or thousands, that are involved. This poses particular challenges for model-based energy system optimization, as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Patrik Schönfeldt , Elif Turhan

Climate resilience across sectors varies significantly in low-income countries (LICs), with agriculture being the most vulnerable to climate change. Existing studies typically focus on individual countries, offering limited insights into…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ronald Katende

Depending on energy sources and demand, the carbon intensity of the public power grid fluctuates over time. Exploiting this variability is an important factor in reducing the emissions caused by data centers. However, regional differences…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Philipp Wiesner , Ilja Behnke , Dominik Scheinert , Kordian Gontarska , Lauritz Thamsen

This paper synthesizes evidence on climate change impacts specific to U.S. populations. We develop an apples-to-apples comparison of econometric studies that empirically estimate the relationship between climate change and gross domestic…

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