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We study the problem of identifying the unknown intervention targets in structural causal models where we have access to heterogeneous data collected from multiple environments. The unknown intervention targets are the set of endogenous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Yuqin Yang , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

In this paper, we study gradient-based classical extremum seeking (ES) for uncertain n-dimensional (nD) static quadratic maps in the presence of known large constant distinct input delays and large output constant delay with a small…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-17 Xuefei Yang , Emilia Fridman

Scalar conservation laws sit at the intersection between being simple enough to study analytically, while being complex enough to exhibit a wide range of nonlinear phenomena. We introduce a novel stochastic perturbation of scalar…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Ulrik S. Fjordholm , Magnus C. Ørke

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

We propose a new strategy for best-arm identification with fixed confidence of Gaussian variables with bounded means and unit variance. This strategy, called Exploration-Biased Sampling, is not only asymptotically optimal: it is to the best…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Antoine Barrier , Aurélien Garivier , Tomáš Kocák

When causal quantities cannot be point identified, researchers often pursue partial identification to quantify the range of possible values. However, the peculiarities of applied research conditions can make this analytically intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Guilherme Duarte , Noam Finkelstein , Dean Knox , Jonathan Mummolo , Ilya Shpitser

We consider a sequential decision making task, where the goal is to optimize an unknown function without evaluating parameters that violate an a~priori unknown (safety) constraint. A common approach is to place a Gaussian process prior on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Alessandro G. Bottero , Carlos E. Luis , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

Identification of a linear time-invariant dynamical system from partial observations is a fundamental problem in control theory. Particularly challenging are systems exhibiting long-term memory. A natural question is how learn such systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Holden Lee

We propose an algorithm for non-stationary kernel bandits that does not require prior knowledge of the degree of non-stationarity. The algorithm follows randomized strategies obtained by solving optimization problems that balance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Kihyuk Hong , Yuhang Li , Ambuj Tewari

In this paper, we propose and analyze a trust-region model-based algorithm for solving unconstrained stochastic optimization problems. Our framework utilizes random models of an objective function $f(x)$, obtained from stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Ruobing Chen , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

This paper addresses identification of sparse linear and noise-driven continuous-time state-space systems, i.e., the right-hand sides in the dynamical equations depend only on a subset of the states. The key assumption in this study, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Recent methodological research in causal inference has focused on effects of stochastic interventions, which assign treatment randomly, often according to subject-specific covariates. In this work, we demonstrate that the usual notion of…

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

We develop an interpolation-based framework for noisy linear systems with unknown system matrix with bounded norm (implying bounded growth or non-increasing energy), and bounded process noise energy. The proposed approach characterizes all…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Martina Vanelli , Nima Monshizadeh , Julien M. Hendrickx

In this paper, we conduct a literature review of laws of motion based on stochastic search strategies which are mainly focused on exploring highly dynamic environments. In this regard, stochastic search strategies represent an interesting…

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

This paper introduces a new approach for continual planning and model learning in relational, non-stationary stochastic environments. Such capabilities are essential for the deployment of sequential decision-making systems in the uncertain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Rushang Karia , Pulkit Verma , Alberto Speranzon , Siddharth Srivastava

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu
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