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Despite the promise of Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) methods in astronomy, the adaptation of NPE into the routine inference workflow has been slow. We identify three critical issues: the need for custom featurizer networks tailored to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-25 Keming Zhang , Joshua S. Bloom , Stéfan van der Walt , Nina Hernitschek

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Ryan P. Kelly , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Christopher C. Drovandi

Modeling strong gravitational lenses is prohibitively expensive for modern and next-generation cosmic survey data. Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based inference (SBI) approach, has been studied as an avenue for efficient…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-23 Paxson Swierc , Marcos Tamargo-Arizmendi , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord

Simulation-based inference (SBI) with neural posterior estimation (NPE) provides rapid X-ray spectral fitting in both Gaussian and Poisson regimes by learning approximate parameter posteriors from simulations. We investigate auto-encoders…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-22 Didier Barret , Simon Dupourqué

Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a type of amortized variational inference, is a computationally efficient means of constructing probabilistic catalogs of light sources from astronomical images. To date, NPE has not been used to perform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-26 Aakash Patel , Tianqing Zhang , Camille Avestruz , Jeffrey Regier , the LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

Neural posterior estimation (NPE) and neural likelihood estimation (NLE) are machine learning approaches that provide accurate posterior, and likelihood, approximations in complex modeling scenarios, and in situations where conducting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 David T. Frazier , Ryan Kelly , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Warne

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

New generation large-aperture telescopes, multi-object spectrographs, and large format detectors are making it possible to acquire very large samples of stellar spectra rapidly. In this context, traditional star-by-star spectroscopic…

Inferring the parameters of a stochastic model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method. A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e. when distinct sets of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Thomas Moreau , Gilles Louppe , Alexandre Gramfort

In modern astronomy, the quantity of data collected has vastly exceeded the capacity for manual analysis, necessitating the use of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to assist scientists with the most labor-intensive tasks. AI…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-18 Marcin Wrona , Andrej Prša

Simulation based inference (SBI) methods enable the estimation of posterior distributions when the likelihood function is intractable, but where model simulation is feasible. Popular neural approaches to SBI are the neural posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoyu Wang , Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

Neural networks are being extensively used for modelling data, especially in the case where no likelihood can be formulated. Although in the case of X-ray spectral fitting, the likelihood is known, we aim to investigate the neural networks…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-22 Didier Barret , Simon Dupourqué

Retrieving the physical parameters from spectroscopic observations of exoplanets is key to understanding their atmospheric properties. Exoplanetary atmospheric retrievals are usually based on approximate Bayesian inference and rely on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-19 Malavika Vasist , François Rozet , Olivier Absil , Paul Mollière , Evert Nasedkin , Gilles Louppe

Computer simulations have long presented the exciting possibility of scientific insight into complex real-world processes. Despite the power of modern computing, however, it remains challenging to systematically perform inference under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Sam Griesemer , Defu Cao , Zijun Cui , Carolina Osorio , Yan Liu

Spectroscopic surveys require fast and efficient analysis methods to maximize their scientific impact. Here we apply a deep neural network architecture to analyze both SDSS-III APOGEE DR13 and synthetic stellar spectra. When our…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-21 Sebastien Fabbro , Kim Venn , Teaghan O'Briain , Spencer Bialek , Collin Kielty , Farbod Jahandar , Stephanie Monty

Computer simulations have proven a valuable tool for understanding complex phenomena across the sciences. However, the utility of simulators for modelling and forecasting purposes is often restricted by low data quality, as well as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Daniel Ward , Patrick Cannon , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo , Sebastian M Schmon

Innovation in the ground and space-based instruments has taken us into a new age of spectroscopy, in which a large amount of stellar content is becoming available. So, automatic classification of stellar spectra became subjective in recent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-26 Y. A. Azzam , M. I. Nouh , A. A. Shaker

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

Achieving maximum scientific results from the overwhelming volume of astronomical data to be acquired over the next few decades will demand novel, fully automatic methods of data analysis. Artificial intelligence approaches hold great…

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