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We introduce fully scalable Gaussian processes, an implementation scheme that tackles the problem of treating a high number of training instances together with high dimensional input data. Our key idea is a representation trick over the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Aristeidis Panos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

Diffusion models achieve state-of-the-art generation quality across many applications, but their ability to capture rare or extreme events in heavy-tailed distributions remains unclear. In this work, we show that traditional diffusion and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Kushagra Pandey , Jaideep Pathak , Yilun Xu , Stephan Mandt , Michael Pritchard , Arash Vahdat , Morteza Mardani

A mean field variational Bayes approach to support vector machines (SVMs) using the latent variable representation on Polson & Scott (2012) is presented. This representation allows circumvention of many of the shortcomings associated with…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-14 Jan Luts , John T. Ormerod

Traditional mediation models in both the frequentist and Bayesian frameworks typically assume normality of the error terms. Violations of this assumption can impair the estimation and hypothesis testing of the mediation effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Zongyu Li , Mark Steel , Zhiyong Zhang

The theory of representation learning aims to build methods that provably invert the data generating process with minimal domain knowledge or any source of supervision. Most prior approaches require strong distributional assumptions on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Kartik Ahuja , Jason Hartford , Yoshua Bengio

We derive and present explicit algorithms to facilitate streamlined computing for variational inference for models containing higher level random effects. Existing literature, such as Lee and Wand (2016), is such that streamlined…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-07 Tui H. Nolan , Marianne Menictas , Matt P. Wand

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

We study variable selection (also called support recovery) in high-dimensional sparse linear regression when one has external information on which variables are likely to be associated with the response. Consistent recovery is only possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Paul Rognon-Vael , David Rossell , Piotr Zwiernik

Among generalized additive models, additive Mat\'ern Gaussian Processes (GPs) are one of the most popular for scalable high-dimensional problems. Thanks to their additive structure and stochastic differential equation representation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Lu Zou , Haoyuan Chen , Liang Ding

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

The presence of non-Gaussian tails is a prevalent characteristic in many financial modeling scenarios, necessitating the use of complex non-Gaussian distributions such as the generalized beta of the second kind (GB2) and the skewed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-10 Xing Yan , Yue Zhao , Qi Wu , Wenxuan Ma

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

This work addresses the problem of high-dimensional classification by exploring the generalized Bayesian logistic regression method under a sparsity-inducing prior distribution. The method involves utilizing a fractional power of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 The Tien Mai

Gaussian process latent variable models (GPLVM) are a flexible and non-linear approach to dimensionality reduction, extending classical Gaussian processes to an unsupervised learning context. The Bayesian incarnation of the GPLVM Titsias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Vidhi Lalchand , Aditya Ravuri , Neil D. Lawrence

Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, $N$, due to the cubic (in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-04 David R. Burt , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Mark van der Wilk

Heckman selection model is the most popular econometric model in analysis of data with sample selection. However, selection models with Normal errors cannot accommodate heavy tails in the error distribution. Recently, Marchenko and Genton…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-08 Peng Ding

This paper considers the Laplace method to derive approximate inference for the Gaussian process (GP) regression in the location and scale parameters of the Student-t probabilistic model. This allows both mean and variance of the data to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-09 Marcelo Hartmann , Jarno Vanhatalo

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

Solving inverse problems using Bayesian methods can become prohibitively expensive when likelihood evaluations involve complex and large scale numerical models. A common approach to circumvent this issue is to approximate the forward model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Maximilian Dinkel , Carolin M. Geitner , Gil Robalo Rei , Jonas Nitzler , Wolfgang A. Wall