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Stability is a central property in learning and statistics promising the output of an algorithm $A$ does not change substantially when applied to similar datasets $S$ and $S'$. It is an elementary fact that any sufficiently stable algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Max Hopkins , Shay Moran

We analyze the probabilities of large infrequent fluctuations in systems driven by external fields. In a broad range of the field magnitudes, the logarithm of the fluctuation probability is linear in the field magnitude, and the response…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-03 M. I. Dykman , H. Rabitz , V. N. Smelyanskiy , B. E. Vugmeister

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-06 Tomasz Srokowski

Testing for conditional independence is a core aspect of constraint-based causal discovery. Although commonly used tests are perfect in theory, they often fail to reject independence in practice, especially when conditioning on multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-13 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

In this paper, we focus on the problem of stable prediction across unknown test data, where the test distribution is agnostic and might be totally different from the training one. In such a case, previous machine learning methods might…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peng Cui , Yue Liu , Jianrong Tao , Yueting Zhuang , Fei Wu

When we work with information from multiple sources, the formalism each employs to handle uncertainty may not be uniform. In order to be able to combine these knowledge bases of different formats, we need to first establish a common basis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Choh Man Teng

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

We consider one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with a boundary condition, driven by a Poisson process. We study existence and uniqueness of solutions and the absolute continuity of the law of the solution. In the case when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aureli Alabert , Miguel A. Marmolejo

This paper studies a risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty. It considers a decision-making process that unfolds over a fixed number of stages, in which a decision-maker chooses among multiple alternatives, some of which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chung-Han Hsieh , Yi-Shan Wong

Understanding under what conditions populations, whether they be plants, animals, or viral particles, persist is an issue of theoretical and practical importance in population biology. Both biotic interactions and environmental fluctuations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Models of stochastic choice typically use conditional choice probabilities given menus as the primitive for analysis, but in the field these are often hard to observe. Moreover, studying preferences over menus is not possible with this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-19 Yaron Azrieli , John Rehbeck

Two main procedures characterize the way in which social actors evaluate the qualities of the options in decision-making processes: they either seek to evaluate their intrinsic qualities (individual learners), or they rely on the opinion of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-31 Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski , Laura Hernández

In this paper, a non-autonomous stochastic logistic system is considered. An interesting result on the effect of stochastically perturbation for the dynamic behavior are obtained. That is, under certain conditions the stochastic system have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-08-08 Hu Hongxiao

This paper introduces the independent choice logic, and in particular the "single agent with nature" instance of the independent choice logic, namely ICLdt. This is a logical framework for decision making uncertainty that extends both logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 David L. Poole

Decision making in modern stochastic systems, including e-commerce platforms, financial markets and healthcare systems, has evolved into a multifaceted process that combines information acquisition and adaptive information sources. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Renyuan Xu , Thaleia Zariphopoulou , Luhao Zhang

Ranking data arises in a wide variety of application areas but remains difficult to model, learn from, and predict. Datasets often exhibit multimodality, intransitivity, or incomplete rankings---particularly when generated by humans---yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Stephen Ragain , Johan Ugander

We introduce a new, reliable, and agnostic uncertainty measure for classification tasks called logit uncertainty. It is based on logit outputs of neural networks. We in particular show that this new uncertainty measure yields a superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Huiyu Wu , Diego Klabjan

Recently, the notions of subjective constraint monotonicity, epistemic splitting, and foundedness have been introduced for epistemic logic programs, with the aim to use them as main criteria respectively intuitions to compare different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Yi-Dong Shen , Thomas Eiter

In recent years, many difficulties appeared when taking into account the inherent stochastic behavior of neurons and voltage-dependent ion channels in Hodgking-Huxley type models. In particular, an open problem for a stochastic model of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-21 Jacky Cresson , Bénédicte Puig , Stefanie Sonner

The work relates to a new way for analysis of one-dimensional stochastic systems, based on consideration of its higher order difference structure. From this point of view, the deterministic and random processes are analyzed. A new numerical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-08 A. Yu. Shahverdian , A. V. Apkarian