Related papers: Targeted Immunisation Thresholds for the Contact P…
We consider a Galton-Watson tree where each node is marked independently of each others with a probability depending on its outdegree. We give a complete picture of the local convergence of critical or sub-critical marked Galton-Watson…
In the context of the recent COVID-19 outbreak, quarantine has been used to "flatten the curve" and slow the spread of the disease. In this paper, we show that this is not the only benefit of quarantine for the mitigation of an SIR epidemic…
We revisit the random tree model with nearest-neighbour interaction as described in previous work, enhancing growth. When the underlying free Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) model is sub-critical, we show that the (non-Markov) model with…
In contrast to the conventional wisdom that scale-free networks are prone to epidemic propagation, in the paper we present that disease spreading is inhibited in fractal scale-free networks. We first propose a novel network model and show…
We consider critical percolation on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree. We show that, when the offspring distribution is in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law for some $\alpha \in (1,2)$, or has finite variance, several…
Bootstrap percolation is a cellular automaton modelling the spread of an `infection' on a graph. In this note, we prove a family of lower bounds on the critical probability for $r$-neighbour bootstrap percolation on Galton--Watson trees in…
In this paper we are concerned with threshold-one contact processes on lattices. We show that the probability that the origin is infected converges to 0 at an exponential rate I in the subcritical case. Furthermore, we give a limit theorem…
We prove a scaling limit theorem for two-type Galton-Waston branching processes with interaction. The limit theorem gives rise to a class of mixed state branching processes with interaction using to simulate the evolution for cell division…
This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social…
We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…
We consider a class of reinforcement processes, called WARMs, on tree graphs. These processes involve a parameter $\alpha$ which governs the strength of the reinforcement, and a collection of Poisson processes indexed by the vertices of the…
In this paper, we consider the threshold-one contact process and the threshold-one voter model w/o spontaneous death on homogeneous trees $\mathbb{T}_d$, $d\ge 2$. Mainly inspired by the corresponding arguments for ordinary contact…
Containing an epidemic at its origin is the most desirable mitigation. Epidemics have often originated in rural areas, with rural communities among the first affected. Disease dynamics in rural regions have received limited attention, and…
Recently it has been shown that a large variety of different networks have power-law (scale-free) distributions of connectivities. We investigate the robustness of such a distribution in discrete threshold networks under neutral evolution.…
In this paper we study threshold-one contact processes on lattices and regular trees. The asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rates as the degrees of the graphs growing to infinity are obtained. Defining \lambda_c as the supremum…
Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…
Bootstrap percolation is a type of cellular automaton which has been used to model various physical phenomena, such as ferromagnetism. For each natural number $r$, the $r$-neighbour bootstrap process is an update rule for vertices of a…
In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…
We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…
The understanding of epidemics on networks has greatly benefited from the recent application of message-passing approaches, which allow to derive exact results for irreversible spreading (i.e. diseases with permanent acquired immunity) in…