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The impact of wildfire smoke on air quality is a growing concern, contributing to air pollution through a complex mixture of chemical species with important implications for public health. While previous studies have primarily focused on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Dafne Zorzetto , Jenna Landy , Corwin Zigler , Giovanni Parmigiani , Roberta De Vito

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

Increases in wildfire activity and the resulting impacts have prompted the development of high-resolution wildfire behavior models for forecasting fire spread. Recent progress in using satellites to detect fire locations further provides…

The air quality inference problem aims to utilize historical data from a limited number of observation sites to infer the air quality index at an unknown location. Considering the sparsity of data due to the high maintenance cost of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yutong Feng , Qiongyan Wang , Yutong Xia , Junlin Huang , Siru Zhong , Yuxuan Liang

This paper addresses the environmental impacts linked to hazardous emissions from gas turbines, with a specific focus on employing various machine learning (ML) models to predict the emissions of Carbon Monoxide (CO) and Nitrogen Oxides…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-31 Kamyar Zeinalipour , Laure Barriere , David Ghelardi , Marco Gori

Urban air quality forecasting is challenging because pollutant concentrations are nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent, and often affected by anomalous observations caused by traffic congestion, industrial emissions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Nourin Jahan , Madhurima Panja , Muhammed Navas T , Tanujit Chakraborty

Physics-based models of dynamical systems are often used to study engineering and environmental systems. Despite their extensive use, these models have several well-known limitations due to simplified representations of the physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Xiaowei Jia , Jared Willard , Anuj Karpatne , Jordan S Read , Jacob A Zwart , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey

Estimating the shortest travel time and providing route recommendation between different locations in a city or region can quantitatively measure the conditions of the transportation network during or after extreme events. One common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Tong Liu , Hadi Meidani

Accurate air quality prediction is becoming increasingly important in the environmental field. To address issues such as low prediction accuracy and slow real-time updates in existing models, which lead to lagging prediction results, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Dan Wang , Feng Jiang , Zhanquan Wang

Reliable long-term forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations is critical for public health early-warning systems, yet existing deep learning approaches struggle to maintain prediction stability beyond 48 hours, especially in cities with sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Amirali Ataee Naeini , Arshia Ataee Naeini , Fatemeh Karami Mohammadi , Omid Ghaffarpasand

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Long-term climate projections require running global Earth system models on timescales of hundreds of years and have relatively coarse resolution (from 40 to 160 km in the horizontal) due to their high computational costs. Unresolved…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-17 Lorenzo Pastori , Arthur Grundner , Veronika Eyring , Mierk Schwabe

Multi-model projections in climate studies are performed to quantify uncertainty and improve reliability in climate projections. The challenging issue is that there is no unique way to obtain performance metrics, nor is there any consensus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-13 Ehsan Mosadegh , Iman Babaeian

There are many wildfire behaviors of increasing relevance that are outside the forecast capabilities of even the most sophisticated operational fire spread and fire behavior model. The limitations of the operational models are due primarily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-26 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Steven K. Krueger , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

Fine-grained fire prediction plays a crucial role in emergency response. Infrared images and fire masks provide complementary thermal and boundary information, yet current methods are predominantly limited to binary mask modeling with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Nan Zhou , Huandong Wang , Jiahao Li , Yang Li , Xiao-Ping Zhang , Yong Li , Xinlei Chen

Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

Long-horizon wildfire risk forecasting requires generating probabilistic spatial fields under sparse event supervision while maintaining computational efficiency across multiple prediction horizons. Extending diffusion models to multi-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yucheng Xing , Xin Wang