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We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

The notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty has long been perceived as almost synonymous with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Machine learning potentials (MLPs) have become essential for large-scale atomistic simulations, enabling ab initio-level accuracy with computational efficiency. However, current MLPs struggle with uncertainty quantification, limiting their…

The effect of noise in the input data for learning potential energy surfaces (PESs) based on neural networks for chemical applications is assessed. Noise in energies and forces can result from aleatoric and epistemic errors in the quantum…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-09-12 S. Goswami , S. Käser , R. J. Bemish , M. Meuwly

Machine learning advances chemistry and materials science by enabling large-scale exploration of chemical space based on quantum chemical calculations. While these models supply fast and accurate predictions of atomistic chemical…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-06-25 K. T. Schütt , M. Gastegger , A. Tkatchenko , K. -R. Müller , R. J. Maurer

We study the problem of reinforcement learning for a task encoded by a reward machine. The task is defined over a set of properties in the environment, called atomic propositions, and represented by Boolean variables. One unrealistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Christos Verginis , Cevahir Koprulu , Sandeep Chinchali , Ufuk Topcu

In many real-world applications of regression, conditional probability estimation, and uncertainty quantification, exploiting symmetries rooted in physics or geometry can dramatically improve generalization and sample efficiency. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Daniel Ordoñez-Apraez , Vladimir Kostić , Alek Fröhlich , Vivien Brandt , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

Deep Learning models are vulnerable to adversarial examples, i.e.\ images obtained via deliberate imperceptible perturbations, such that the model misclassifies them with high confidence. However, class confidence by itself is an incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-23 Ambrish Rawat , Martin Wistuba , Maria-Irina Nicolae

Characterizing aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty on the predicted rewards can help in building reliable reinforcement learning (RL) systems. Aleatoric uncertainty results from the irreducible environment stochasticity leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Bertrand Charpentier , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel Kochenderfer , Stephan Günnemann

A ubiquitous approach to obtain transferable machine learning-based models of potential energy surfaces for atomistic systems is to decompose the total energy into a sum of local atom-centred contributions. However, in many systems…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-06-18 Jack Thomas , William J. Baldwin , Gábor Csányi , Christoph Ortner

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-04 Danny Perez , Aparna P. A. Subramanyam , Ivan Maliyov , Thomas D. Swinburne

Neural network force fields have significantly advanced ab initio atomistic simulations across diverse fields. However, their application in the realm of magnetic materials is still in its early stage due to challenges posed by the subtle…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-02-08 Zilong Yuan , Zhiming Xu , He Li , Xinle Cheng , Honggeng Tao , Zechen Tang , Zhiyuan Zhou , Wenhui Duan , Yong Xu

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Characterizing uncertainty is a common issue in nuclear measurement and has important implications for reliable physical discovery. Traditional methods are either insufficient to cope with the heterogeneous nature of uncertainty or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-01 Pengcheng Ai , Zhi Deng , Yi Wang , Chendi Shen

Reactive force fields for molecular dynamics have enabled a wide range of studies in numerous material classes. These force fields are computationally inexpensive as compared to electronic structure calculations and allow for simulations of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-04-26 Brenden W. Hamilton , Pilsun Yoo , Michael N. Sakano , Md Mahbubul Islam , Alejandro Strachan

Machine learning potentials have become a standard tool for atomistic materials modelling. While models continue to become more generalisable, an open challenge relates to efficient uncertainty predictions for active learning and robust…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 Hubert Beck , Pavol Simko , Lars L. Schaaf , Ondrej Marsalek , Christoph Schran

We suggest a general approach to quantification of different forms of aleatoric uncertainty in regression tasks performed by artificial neural networks. It is based on the simultaneous training of two neural networks with a joint loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-05 Pavel Gurevich , Hannes Stuke

This paper addresses the challenges of power flow calculation in large scale power systems with high renewable penetration, focusing on computational efficiency and generalization. Traditional methods, while accurate, struggle with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Ziqing Zhu , Shuyang Zhu , Siqi Bu

Machine learning methods have nowadays become easy-to-use tools for constructing high-dimensional interatomic potentials with ab initio accuracy. Although machine learned interatomic potentials are generally orders of magnitude faster than…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 Yaolong Zhang , Ce Hu , Bin Jiang

Data scarcity, bias, and experimental noise are all frequently encountered problems in the application of deep learning to chemical and material science disciplines. Transfer learning has proven effective in compensating for the lack in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-16 Florence H. Vermeire , William H. Green
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