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Heat extremes are projected to severely impact humanity and with increasing geographic disparities. Global South countries are more exposed to heat extremes and have reduced adaptation capacity. One documented source of such adaptation…

Water markets represent a policy tool that aims at finding efficient water allocations among competing users by promoting reallocations from low-value to high-value uses. In Canada, water markets have been discussed and implemented at the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-02 Jorge Garcia-Hernandez , Roy Brouwer

Tracking financial investments in climate adaptation is a complex and expertise-intensive task, particularly for Early Warning Systems (EWS), which lack standardized financial reporting across multilateral development banks (MDBs) and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Saeid Ario Vaghefi , Aymane Hachcham , Veronica Grasso , Jiska Manicus , Nakiete Msemo , Chiara Colesanti Senni , Markus Leippold

Climate change is the long-term shift in global weather patterns, largely caused by anthropogenic activity of greenhouse gas emissions. Global climate temperatures have unmistakably risen and naturally occurring climate variability alone…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-26 Junze Zhang , Kerry Zhang , Mary Zhang , Jonathan H. Jiang , Philip E. Rosen , Kristen A. Fahy

Flooding is the most devastating phenomenon occurring globally, particularly in mountainous regions, risk dramatically increases due to complex terrains and extreme climate changes. These situations are damaging livelihoods, agriculture,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haleema Bibi , Sadia Saleem , Zakia Jalil , Muhammad Nasir , Tahani Alsubait

With success on controlled tasks, generative models are being increasingly applied to humanitarian applications [1,2]. In this paper, we focus on the evaluation of a conditional generative model that illustrates the consequences of climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Sharon Zhou , Alexandra Luccioni , Gautier Cosne , Michael S. Bernstein , Yoshua Bengio

Background: Floods are the most common natural disaster in the world, affecting the lives of hundreds of millions. Flood forecasting is therefore a vitally important endeavor, typically achieved using physical water flow simulations, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Niv Giladi , Zvika Ben-Haim , Sella Nevo , Yossi Matias , Daniel Soudry

We tackle the problem of estimating flow between two images with large lighting variations. Recent learning-based flow estimation frameworks have shown remarkable performance on image pairs with small displacement and constant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Zhaoyang Huang , Xiaokun Pan , Runsen Xu , Yan Xu , Ka chun Cheung , Guofeng Zhang , Hongsheng Li

Understanding the relationship between urban form and structure and spatial variation of property flood risk has been a longstanding challenge in urban planning and city flood risk management. Yet limited data-driven insights exist…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-23 Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

Flood changes may be attributed to drivers of change that belong to three main classes: atmospheric, catchment and river system drivers. In this work, we propose a data-based attribution approach for selecting which driver best relates to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-13 Miriam Bertola , Alberto Viglione , Günter Blöschl

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

Decisions on how to manage future flood risks are frequently informed by both sophisticated and computationally expensive models. This complexity often limits the representation of uncertainties and the consideration of strategies. Here, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-26 Robert L. Ceres , Chris E. Forest , Klaus Keller

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Systematic biases in General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs limit their direct applicability in regional planning, making bias correction a technically demanding but necessary step for both short-term and long-term impact assessment.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Kamlesh Sawadekar , Seth McGinnis , Peijun Li , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Although most people support climate action, widespread underestimation of others' support stalls individual and systemic changes. In this preregistered experiment, we test whether large language models (LLMs) can reliably predict these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Nattavudh Powdthavee , Sandra J. Geiger

Energy communities (ECs) play a key role in enabling local demand shifting and enhancing self-sufficiency, as energy systems transition toward decentralized structures with high shares of renewable generation. To optimally operate them,…

Tropical storms cause extensive property damage and loss of life, making them one of the most destructive types of natural hazards. The development of predictive models that identify interventions effective at mitigating storm impacts has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-24 Jared Markowitz , Alexander New , Jennifer Sleeman , Chace Ashcraft , Jay Brett , Gary Collins , Stella In , Nathaniel Winstead

Natural climate variability, captured through multiple initial condition ensembles, may be comparable to the variability caused by knowledge gaps in future emissions trajectories and in the physical science basis, especially at…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Udit Bhatia , Auroop Ratan Ganguly

Catastrophic losses caused by natural disasters receive a growing concern about the severe rise in magnitude and frequency. The constructions of insurance and financial management scheme become increasingly necessary to diversify the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Chengxiu Ling , Jiayi Li , Yixuan Liu , Zhiyan Cai

Predictive analytics is widely used in learning analytics, but many resource-constrained institutions lack the capacity to develop their own models or rely on proprietary ones trained in different contexts with little transparency. Transfer…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Chengyuan Yao , Carmen Cortez , Renzhe Yu