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Flood-related risks to people and property are expected to increase in the future due to environmental and demographic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate flood hazards and exposure to inform the design and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Sanjib Sharma , Michael Gomez , Klaus Keller , Robert Nicholas , Alfonso Mejia

A conceptual area is divided into units or barangays, each was allowed to evolve under a physical constraint. A risk assessment method was then used to identify the flood risk in each community using the following risk factors: the area's…

Floods affected more than 2 billion people worldwide from 1998 to 2017 and their occurrence is expected to increase due to climate warming, population growth and rapid urbanization. Recent approaches for understanding the resilience of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-03 Simone Loreti , Enrico Ser-Giacomi , Andreas Zischg , Margreth Keiler , Marc Barthelemy

Floods can cause horrific harm to life and property. However, they can be mitigated or even avoided by the effective use of hydraulic structures such as dams, gates, and pumps. By pre-releasing water via these structures in advance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Giri Narasimhan

Urban flooding is expected to increase in frequency and severity as a consequence of climate change, causing wide-ranging impacts that include a decrease in urban Quality of Life (QoL). Meanwhile, policymakers must devise adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Miguel Costa , Arthur Vandervoort , Martin Drews , Karyn Morrissey , Francisco C. Pereira

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Floods rank among the costliest natural hazards, causing over USD 100 billion in insured losses between 2013 and 2023. In France, persistent deficits in the natural catastrophe scheme highlight the need for accurate, building-scale flood…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-04 Mulah Moriah , Franck Vermet , Pierre Ailliot , Philippe Naveau , Juliette Legrand

Future projections of Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) mass loss remain characterized by deep uncertainty (i.e., behavior is not well understood or widely agreed upon by experts). This complicates decisions on long-lived projects involving the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-09 D. J. Rasmussen , Maya K. Buchanan , Robert E. Kopp , Michael Oppenheimer

Due to climate change the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, which contribute to urban flooding, are expected to increase in many places. These floods can damage transport infrastructure and disrupt mobility, highlighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Miguel Costa , Morten W. Petersen , Arthur Vandervoort , Martin Drews , Karyn Morrissey , Francisco C. Pereira

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Amir Mosavi , Pinar Ozturk , Kwok-wing Chau

Adaptive planning is ideally suited for the deep uncertainties presented by climate change. While there is a robust scholarship on the theory and methods of adaptive planning, this has largely neglected how adaptive planning is affected by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Ashley D. Ross , Ali Nejat , Virgie Greb

The cost of the impacts of climate change have already proven to be larger than previously believed. Understanding the costs and benefits of adapting to the changing climate is necessary to make targeted and appropriate investment…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-27 Anna Josephson , Rodrigo Guerra Su , Greg Collins , Katharine Jacobs

Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

In real-world classification settings, such as loan application evaluation or content moderation on online platforms, individuals respond to classifier predictions by strategically updating their features to increase their likelihood of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Vijay Keswani , L. Elisa Celis

In an era of escalating climate change, urban flooding has emerged as a critical challenge for sustainable cities, threatening lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Traditional flood detection methods are constrained by their reliance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Shahid Shafi Dar , Bharat Kaurav , Arnav Jain , Chandravardhan Singh Raghaw , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Insurance losses due to flooding can be estimated by simulating and then summing losses over a large number of locations and a large set of hypothetical years of flood events. Replicated realisations lead to Monte Carlo return-level…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-23 Anna Maria Barlow , Chris Sherlock

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing