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Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

This paper develops an intuitive concept of perfect dependence between two variables of which at least one has a nominal scale. Perfect dependence is attainable for all marginal distributions. It furthermore proposes a set of dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Jan-Lukas Wermuth

We establish a precise connection between statistical significance in dependence testing and information-theoretic dependence as quantified by Shannon mutual information (MI). In the absence of prior distributional information, we consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Tsutomu Mori , Takashi Kawamura

We consider an extension of the unary negation fragment of first-order logic in which arbitrarily many binary symbols may be required to be interpreted as equivalence relations. We show that this extension has the finite model property.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Daniel Danielski , Emanuel Kieronski

Probabilistic graphical models are powerful tools which allow us to formalise our knowledge about the world and reason about its inherent uncertainty. There exist a considerable number of methods for performing inference in probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Robert Walecki , Albert Buchard , Kostis Gourgoulias , Chris Hart , Maria Lomeli , A. K. W. Navarro , Max Zwiessele , Yura Perov , Saurabh Johri

We present a way of introducing joint distibution function and its marginal distribution functions for non-compatible observables. Each such marginal distribution function has the property of commutativity. Models based on this approach can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Oľga Nánásiová , Andrei Yu. Khrennikov

Dependence logics are a modern family of logics of independence and dependence which mimic notions of database theory. In this paper, we aim to initiate the study of enumeration complexity in the field of dependence logics and thereby get a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Arne Meier , Christian Reinbold

We provide asymptotic results for the distribution of weighted nonlinear functionals of Gaussian field with long-range dependence. We also show that integral functionals and the corresponding additive functionals have same distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-06 Tareq Alodat , Andriy Olenko

We introduce a finite version of free probability for rectangular matrices that amounts to operations on singular values of polynomials. We show that we can replicate the transforms from free probability, and that asymptotically there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Aurelien Gribinski

Cyclic monotone independence is an algebraic notion of noncommutative independence, introduced in the study of multi-matrix random matrix models with small rank. Its algebraic form turns out to be surprisingly close to monotone…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Benoît Collins , Felix Leid , Noriyoshi Sakuma

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

For two independent, almost surely finite random variables, independence of their minimum (time) and the event that one of them is either greater, equal or less than the other (cause) is completely characterized. It is shown that, other…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Offer Kella

The functional ANOVA expansion of a multivariate mapping plays a fundamental role in statistics. The expansion is unique once a unique distribution is assigned to the covariates. Recent investigations in the environmental and climate…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-17 Emanuele Borgonovo , Max D. Morris , Elmar Plischke

This paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of the effects of actions in the presence of unmeasured variables. We show that the identification of causal effect between a singleton variable X and a set of variables Y can be accomplished…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 David Galles , Judea Pearl

We show that there can be no finite list of conditional independence relations which can be used to deduce all conditional independence implications among Gaussian random variables. To do this, we construct, for each $n> 3$ a family of $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Seth Sullivant

The notion of probability plays an important role in almost all areas of science and technology. In modern mathematics, however, probability theory means nothing other than measure theory, and the operational characterization of the notion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Kohtaro Tadaki

``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Axiomatization has been widely used for testing logical implications. This paper suggests a non-axiomatic method, the chase, to test if a new dependency follows from a given set of probabilistic dependencies. Although the chase computation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Michael S. K. M. Wong

In the paper, the authors introduce a matrix-parametrized generalization of the multinomial probability mass function that involves a ratio of several multivariate gamma functions. They show the logarithmic complete monotonicity of this…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Frédéric Ouimet , Feng Qi
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