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Mathematical models play an increasingly important role in the interpretation of biological experiments. Studies often present a model that generates the observations, connecting hypothesized process to an observed pattern. Such generative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-18 Steven A. Frank

Modeling of growth (or decay) curves arises in many fields such as microbiology, epidemiology, marketing, and econometrics. Parametric forms like Logistic and Gompertz are often used for modeling such monotonic patterns. While useful for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Rajesh Selukar

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

This work proposes a novel approach for non-deterministic extension of experimental data that considers structural model inadequacy for conditions other than the calibration scenario while simultaneously resolving any significant prior-data…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-10 Przemyslaw Rostkowski , Jeremie B. E. Meurisse , Marco Panesi

Purpose. Athlete monitoring is constrained by small cohorts, heterogeneous biomarker scales, limited feasibility of repeated sampling, and the lack of reliable injury ground truth. These limitations reduce the interpretability and utility…

Mathematical models are crucial for optimizing and controlling chemical processes, yet they often face significant limitations in terms of computational time, algorithm complexity, and development costs. Hybrid models, which combine…

We introduce a unified machine-learning framework designed to conveniently tackle the temporal evolution of alloy microstructures under the influence of an elastic field. This approach allows for the simultaneous extraction of elastic…

Advances in synthetic biology allow us to engineer bacterial collectives with pre-specified characteristics. However, the behavior of these collectives is difficult to understand, as cellular growth and division as well as extra-cellular…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 James J. Winkle , Oleg Igoshin , Matthew R. Bennett , Krešimir Josić , William Ott

This paper revisits building machine learning algorithms that involve interactions between entities, such as those between financial assets in an actively managed portfolio, or interactions between users in a social network. Our goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Qiong Wu , Jian Li , Zhenming Liu , Yanhua Li , Mihai Cucuringu

A grand challenge in modern neuroscience is to bridge the gap between the detailed mapping of microscale neural circuits and mechanistic understanding of cognitive functions. While extensive knowledge exists about neuronal connectivity and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-11 Sen Lu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Mingtao Hu , Eric Yeu-Jer Lee , Soohyeon Kim , Wei D. Lu

Mathematical models of physical systems are subject to many uncertainties such as measurement errors and uncertain initial and boundary conditions. After accounting for these uncertainties, it is often revealed that discrepancies between…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Rebecca E Morrison , Todd A Oliver , Robert D Moser

Latent variable models provide a powerful framework for incorporating and inferring unobserved factors in observational data. In causal inference, they help account for hidden factors influencing treatment or outcome, thereby addressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Tetsuro Morimura , Tatsushi Oka , Yugo Suzuki , Daisuke Moriwaki

In silico, cell based approaches for modeling biological morphogenesis are used to test and validate our understanding of the biological and mechanical process that are at work during the growth and the organization of multi-cell tissues.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Raphaël Conradin , Christophe Coreixas , Jonas Latt , Bastien Chopard

Limit cycle oscillations are phenomena arising in nonlinear dynamical systems and characterized by periodic, locally-stable, and self-sustained state trajectories. Systems controlled in a closed loop along a periodic trajectory can also be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Defne E. Ozan , Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

We propose using mechanistic interpretability -- techniques for reverse engineering model weights into human-interpretable algorithms -- to derive and compactly prove formal guarantees on model performance. We prototype this approach by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Jason Gross , Rajashree Agrawal , Thomas Kwa , Euan Ong , Chun Hei Yip , Alex Gibson , Soufiane Noubir , Lawrence Chan

State-space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics, animal movement, and capture-recapture data, and are now…

Accurate spatiotemporal pattern analysis is critical in fields such as urban traffic, meteorology, and public health monitoring. However, existing methods face performance bottlenecks, typically yielding only incremental gains and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jing Chen , Shixiang Pan , Yujie Fan , Haocheng Ye , Haitao Xu , Wenqiang Xu

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark