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In this paper we propose an end-to-end algorithm for indirect data-driven control for bilinear systems with stability guarantees. We consider the case where the collected i.i.d. data is affected by probabilistic noise with possibly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Robin Strässer , Frank Allgöwer , Andrea Iannelli

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Smooth backfitting has proven to have a number of theoretical and practical advantages in structured regression. Smooth backfitting projects the data down onto the structured space of interest providing a direct link between data and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Maria Dolores Martinez-Miranda , Jens Perch Nielsen

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

This thesis is concerned with the rejection of time-varying disturbances in linear model predictive control of discrete-time systems. In the literature, disturbances are widely rejected by using velocity models, disturbance model with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Isah Abdulrasheed Jimoh

This paper addresses the weak instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models from a Bayesian perspective. The new approach has two components. First, a novel predictor-dependent shrinkage prior is developed for the many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

Model Predictive Control evolved as the state of the art paradigm for safety critical control tasks. Control-as-Inference approaches thereof model the constrained optimization problem as a probabilistic inference problem. The constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

In this paper, it is shown that a simple formulation of Economic Model Predictive Control can be used which possesses two features that are generally viewed as mutually exclusive, namely, a rather short prediction horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Mazen Alamir , Gabriele Pannochia

The recently introduced discrete power-based control (Ruderman (2024b)) reduces largely the communication efforts in the control loop when compensating for the marginally damped or even slowly diverging output oscillations. The control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-24 Michael Ruderman , Denis Efimov

Covariate adjustment is a widely used technique in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) for improving the efficiency of treatment effect estimators. By adjusting for predictive baseline covariates, variance can be reduced, enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Mathias Lerbech Jeppesen , Emilie Højbjerre-Frandsen

A Learning Model Predictive Controller (LMPC) for linear system in presented. The proposed controller is an extension of the LMPC [1] and it aims to decrease the computational burden. The control scheme is reference-free and is able to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

Performing causal inference in observational studies requires we assume confounding variables are correctly adjusted for. G-computation methods are often used in these scenarios, with several recent proposals using Bayesian versions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Daniel Daly-Grafstein , Paul Gustafson

This paper derives for non-linear, time-varying and feedback linearizable systems simple controller designs to achieve specified state-and timedependent complex convergence rates. This approach can be regarded as a general gain-scheduling…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-20 Winfried Lohmiller , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders. Existing instrumental variable methods for nonlinear outcome models require stringent identifiability conditions. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Sai Li , Zijian Guo

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone