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We present theoretical properties of the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a density based on an independent and identically distributed sample in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our study covers both the case where the true underlying density is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Madeleine Cule , Richard Samworth

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhen Zhou , Zhirui Wang , Qi Hong , Yunyang Shi , Ziyuan Gu , Zhiyuan Liu

We consider maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixture of uniform distributions. We prove that maximum likelihood estimator is strongly consistent, if the scale parameters of the component uniform distributions are restricted from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

Traditional methods for linear regression generally assume that the underlying error distribution, equivalently the distribution of the responses, is normal. Yet, sometimes real life response data may exhibit a skewed pattern, and assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Amarnath Nandy , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

We propose a continuous-time formulation of persistent contrastive divergence (PCD) for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of unnormalised densities. Our approach expresses PCD as a coupled, multiscale system of stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Paul Felix Valsecchi Oliva , O. Deniz Akyildiz , Andrew Duncan

The panel data regression models have become one of the most widely applied statistical approaches in different fields of research, including social, behavioral, environmental sciences, and econometrics. However, traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-06 Abhijit Mandal , Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We investigate the use of diffusion models as neural density estimators. The current approach to this problem involves converting the generative process to a smooth flow, known as the Probability Flow ODE. The log density at a given sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Akhil Premkumar

Families of mixtures of multivariate power exponential (MPE) distributions have been previously introduced and shown to be competitive for cluster analysis in comparison to other elliptical mixtures including mixtures of Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-24 Utkarsh J. Dang , Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

In this paper, a novel diffusion estimation algorithm is proposed from a probabilistic perspective by combining diffusion strategy and the probabilistic least-mean-squares (PLMS) at all agents. The proposed method diffusion probabilistic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-27 Sihai Guan , Chun Meng , Bharat Biswal

Robust statistics traditionally focuses on outliers, or perturbations in total variation distance. However, a dataset could be corrupted in many other ways, such as systematic measurement errors and missing covariates. We generalize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Banghua Zhu , Jiantao Jiao , Jacob Steinhardt

The paper addresses the problem of estimation of the model parameters of the logistic exponential distribution based on progressive type-I hybrid censored sample. The maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and computed numerically using…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-13 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

This article addresses the different methods of estimation of the probability mass function (PMF) and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the Logarithmic Series distribution. Following estimation methods are considered: uniformly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-01 Sudhansu S. Maiti , Indrani Mukherjee , Monojit Das

In real life we often deal with independent but not identically distributed observations (i.n.i.d.o), for which the most well-known statistical model is the multiple linear regression model (MLRM) without random covariates. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Elena Castilla , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Model-based reinforcement learning is a widely accepted solution for solving excessive sample demands. However, the predictions of the dynamics models are often not accurate enough, and the resulting bias may incur catastrophic decisions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Wanpeng Zhang , Xi Xiao , Yao Yao , Mingzhe Chen , Dijun Luo

A robust estimator for a wide family of mixtures of linear regression is presented. Robustness is based on the joint adoption of the Cluster Weighted Model and of an estimator based on trimming and restrictions. The selected model provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 L. A. Garcia-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

Heatmap-based methods dominate in the field of human pose estimation by modelling the output distribution through likelihood heatmaps. In contrast, regression-based methods are more efficient but suffer from inferior performance. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Jiefeng Li , Siyuan Bian , Ailing Zeng , Can Wang , Bo Pang , Wentao Liu , Cewu Lu

We benchmark the robustness of maximum likelihood based uncertainty estimation methods to outliers in training data for regression tasks. Outliers or noisy labels in training data results in degraded performances as well as incorrect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Deebul S. Nair , Nico Hochgeschwender , Miguel A. Olivares-Mendez