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Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

Verification and validation of fully automated vehicles is linked to an almost intractable challenge of reflecting the real world with all its interactions in a virtual environment. Influential stochastic parameters need to be extracted…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Katrin Lotto , Thomas Nagler , Mladjan Radic

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Many financial and economic variables, including financial returns, exhibit nonlinear dependence, heterogeneity and heavy-tailedness. These properties may make problematic the analysis of (non-)efficiency and volatility clustering in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Rustam Ibragimov , Rasmus Pedersen , Anton Skrobotov

In multivariate analysis, uncertainty arises from two sources: the marginal distributions of the variables and their dependence structure. Quantifying the dependence structure is crucial, as it provides valuable insights into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Mohd. Arshad , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

When scholars study joint distributions of multiple variables, copulas are useful. However, if the variables are not linearly correlated with each other yet are still not independent, most of conventional copulas are not up to the task.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Kentaro Fukumoto

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania

This article proposes a space-efficient approximation to empirical tail dependence coefficients of an indefinite bivariate stream of data. The approximation, which has stream-length invariant error bounds, utilises recent work on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-17 Alastair Gregory , Kaushik Jana

We study the weak convergence of conditional empirical copula processes, when the conditioning event has a nonzero probability. The validity of several bootstrap schemes is stated, including the exchangeable bootstrap. We define general -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

Correlation and spectral analysis represent the standard tools to study interdependence in statistical data. However, for the stochastic processes with heavy-tailed distributions such that the variance diverges, these tools are inadequate.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Aleksei Chechkin , Janusz Gajda , Igor M. Sokolov

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric dependence measures, we introduce similar measures for discrete random variables. The measures cover the range between two extremes: independence and complete dependence, which take…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hui Li

We provide a set of copulas that can be interpreted as having the negative extreme dependence. This set of copulas is interesting because it coincides with countermonotonic copula for a bivariate case, and more importantly, is shown to be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-12 Jae Youn Ahn

In this paper, we study the identifiability and the estimation of the parameters of a copula-based multivariate model when the margins are unknown and are arbitrary, meaning that they can be continuous, discrete, or mixtures of continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

The minimization of some multivariate risk indicators may be used as an allocation method, as proposed in C\'enac et al. [6]. The aim of capital allocation is to choose a point in a simplex, according to a given criterion. In a previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Said
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