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We consider the problem of predictive monitoring (PM), i.e., predicting at runtime the satisfaction of a desired property from the current system's state. Due to its relevance for runtime safety assurance and online control, PM methods need…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Francesca Cairoli , Nicola Paoletti , Luca Bortolussi

We consider the problem of predictive monitoring (PM), i.e., predicting at runtime future violations of a system from the current state. We work under the most realistic settings where only partial and noisy observations of the state are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Nicola Paoletti

Machine learning components such as deep neural networks are used extensively in Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). However, such components may introduce new types of hazards that can have disastrous consequences and need to be addressed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Dimitrios Boursinos , Xenofon Koutsoukos

Machine learning components such as deep neural networks are used extensively in Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). However, they may introduce new types of hazards that can have disastrous consequences and need to be addressed for engineering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Dimitrios Boursinos , Xenofon Koutsoukos

Business process compliance is a key area of business process management and aims at ensuring that processes obey to compliance constraints such as regulatory constraints or business rules imposed on them. Process compliance can be checked…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Stefanie Rinderle-Ma , Karolin Winter , Janik-Vasily Benzin

We consider the problem of quantitative predictive monitoring (QPM) of stochastic systems, i.e., predicting at runtime the degree of satisfaction of a desired temporal logic property from the current state of the system. Since computational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Lars Lindemann , Nicola Paoletti

Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Model predictive control (MPC) is widely used in industries but implementing it poses challenges due to hardware or time constraints. A promising solution is to approximate the MPC policy using function approximators like neural networks.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Chenchen Zhou , Yi Cao , Shuang-hua Yang

In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full conditional coverage guarantees. A wealth of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Conformal Predictors (CP) are wrappers around ML models, providing error guarantees under weak assumptions on the data distribution. They are suitable for a wide range of problems, from classification and regression to anomaly detection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Giovanni Cherubin , Konstantinos Chatzikokolakis , Martin Jaggi

Cyber-physical systems (CPS) integrate sensing, computing, communication and actuation capabilities to monitor and control operations in the physical environment. A key requirement of such systems is the need to provide predictable…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Hyoseung Kim

Predictive business process monitoring is concerned with the prediction how a running process instance will unfold up to its completion at runtime. Most of the proposed approaches rely on a wide number of different machine learning (ML)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Martin Käppel , Stefan Jablonski , Stefan Schönig

This research leverages Conformal Prediction (CP) in the form of Conformal Predictive Systems (CPS) to accurately estimate uncertainty in a suite of machine learning (ML)-based radio metric models [1] as well as in a 2-D map-based ML path…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Alexis Bose , Jonathan Ethier , Ryan G. Dempsey , Yifeng Qiu

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Machine learning (ML) is transforming healthcare, but safe clinical decisions demand reliable uncertainty estimates that standard ML models fail to provide. Conformal prediction (CP) is a popular tool that allows users to turn heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Bernhard Schölkopf , Lisa Koch , Christian F. Baumgartner , Michael Muehlebach

We develop a data-driven approach for runtime safety monitoring in flight testing, where pilots perform maneuvers on aircraft with uncertain parameters. Because safety violations can arise unexpectedly as a result of these uncertainties,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Aaron O. Feldman , D. Isaiah Harp , Joseph Duncan , Mac Schwager

Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification through prediction sets that are guaranteed to include the ground truth with any user-specified probability. Yet, conformal prediction is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

In many domains, the previous decade was characterized by increasing data volumes and growing complexity of computational workloads, creating new demands for highly data-parallel computing in distributed systems. Effective operation of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Carl Witt , Marc Bux , Wladislaw Gusew , Ulf Leser

After a machine learning (ML)-based system is deployed, monitoring its performance is important to ensure the safety and effectiveness of the algorithm over time. When an ML algorithm interacts with its environment, the algorithm can affect…

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