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Stochastic and conditional simulation methods have been effective towards producing realistic realizations and simulations of spatial numerical models that share equal probability of occurrence. Application of these methods are valuable…

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

Pavement rutting poses a significant challenge in flexible pavements, necessitating costly asphalt resurfacing. To address this issue comprehensively, we propose an advanced Bayesian hierarchical framework of latent Gaussian models with…

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Renátó Besenczi , Norbert Bátfai , Péter Jeszenszky , Roland Major , Fanny Monori , Márton Ispány

Road traffic casualties represent a hidden global epidemic, demanding evidence-based interventions. This paper demonstrates a network lattice approach for identifying road segments of particular concern, based on a case study of a major…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-13 Andrea Gilardi , Jorge Mateu , Riccardo Borgoni , Robin Lovelace

Spatial modelling often uses Gaussian random fields to capture the stochastic nature of studied phenomena. However, this approach incurs significant computational burdens (O(n3)), primarily due to covariance matrix computations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Joaquin Cavieres , Paula Moraga , Cole C. Monnahan

Accurate traffic forecasting, the foundation of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), has never been more significant than nowadays due to the prosperity of smart cities and urban computing. Recently, Graph Neural Network truly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Jiabin Tang , Tang Qian , Shijing Liu , Shengdong Du , Jie Hu , Tianrui Li

Accurately estimating traffic variables across unequipped portions of a network remains a significant challenge due to the limited coverage of sensor-equipped links, such as loop detectors and probe vehicles. A common approach is to apply…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-28 Nandan Maiti , Manon Seppecher , Ludovic Leclercq

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

A non-stationary Gaussian random field model is developed based on a combination of the stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) approach and the classical deformation method. With the deformation method, a stationary field is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 Anders Hildeman , David Bolin , Igor Rychlik

Spatiotemporal forecasting of traffic flow data represents a typical problem in the field of machine learning, impacting urban traffic management systems. In general, spatiotemporal forecasting problems involve complex interactions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yash Jakhmola , Madhurima Panja , Nitish Kumar Mishra , Kripabandhu Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Tanujit Chakraborty

Large amounts of traffic can lead to negative effects such as increased car accidents, air pollution, and significant time wasted. Understanding traffic speeds on any given road segment can be highly beneficial for traffic management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Alexandru T. Cismaru

Studying sample path behaviour of stochastic fields/processes is a classical research topic in probability theory and related areas such as fractal geometry. To this end, many methods have been developed since a long time in Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Antoine Ayache , Geoffrey Boutard

Foundation models have shown great promise in various fields of study. A potential application of such models is in computer network traffic analysis, where these models can grasp the complexities of network traffic dynamics and adapt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Louis Van Langendonck , Ismael Castell-Uroz , Pere Barlet-Ros

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Mat\'ern fields formulated as solutions to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Finn Lindgren , Haakon Bakka , David Bolin , Elias Krainski , Håvard Rue

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Analysis of the dynamic relationship between traffic accident events and road network topology based on connectivity and graph analytics offers a new approach to identifying, ranking and profiling traffic accident high risk-locations at…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Iyke Maduako , Elijah Ebinne , Victus Uzodinma , Chukwuma Okolie , Emmanuel Chiemelu

This paper proposes a novel graphical model, termed the spatial dependence graph model, which captures the global dependence structure of different events that occur randomly in space. In the spatial dependence graph model, the edge set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Matthias Eckardt