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Predictability of undesired events is a question of great interest in many scientific disciplines including seismology, economy, and epidemiology. Here, we focus on the predictability of invasion of a broad class of epidemics caused by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-08 Francisco J. Perez-Reche , Franco M. Neri , Sergei N. Taraskin , Christopher A. Gilligan

ECLiPSe is a Prolog-based programming system, aimed at the development and deployment of constraint programming applications. It is also used for teaching most aspects of combinatorial problem solving, e.g. problem modelling, constraint…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2010-12-21 Joachim Schimpf , Kish Shen

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

Prompt engineering significantly influences the reliability and clinical utility of Large Language Models (LLMs) in medical applications. Current optimization approaches inadequately address domain-specific medical knowledge and safety…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yinda Chen , Yangfan He , Jing Yang , Dapeng Zhang , Zhenlong Yuan , Muhammad Attique Khan , Jamel Baili , Por Lip Yee

Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies. Studies commonly acknowledge these models' assumptions but less…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Pratyush K. Kollepara , Yaneer Bar-Yam

We introduce SPFlow, an open-source Python library providing a simple interface to inference, learning and manipulation routines for deep and tractable probabilistic models called Sum-Product Networks (SPNs). The library allows one to…

We present "interoperability" as a guiding framework for statistical modelling to assist policy makers asking multiple questions using diverse datasets in the face of an evolving pandemic response. Interoperability provides an important set…

The study of infectious disease epidemiology for multi-type disease pathogens requires modelling techniques that account for the complex interactions existing between strains across geography and time. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Matthew Adeoye , Simon E. F. Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

This paper proposes the use of Constraint Logic Programming (CLP) to model SQL queries in a data-independent abstract layer by focusing on some semantic properties for signalling possible errors in such queries. First, we define a…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Fernando Sáenz-Pérez

Classical medium access control (MAC) protocols are interpretable, yet their task-agnostic control signaling messages (CMs) are ill-suited for emerging mission-critical applications. By contrast, neural network (NN) based protocol models…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Sejin Seo , Jihong Park , Seung-Woo Ko , Jinho Choi , Mehdi Bennis , Seong-Lyun Kim

The emergence of tools based on artificial intelligence has also led to the need of producing explanations which are understandable by a human being. In most approaches, the system is considered a black box, making it difficult to generate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Germán Vidal

The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman

Infectious diseases are a significant public health concern globally, and extracting relevant information from scientific literature can facilitate the development of effective prevention and treatment strategies. However, the large amount…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Shaina Raza , Syed Raza Bashir

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

Probabilistic software analysis aims at quantifying the probability of a target event occurring during the execution of a program processing uncertain incoming data or written itself using probabilistic programming constructs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Yicheng Luo , Antonio Filieri , Yuan Zhou

We develop a new Low-level, First-order Probabilistic Programming Language (LF-PPL) suited for models containing a mix of continuous, discrete, and/or piecewise-continuous variables. The key success of this language and its compilation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Yuan Zhou , Bradley J. Gram-Hansen , Tobias Kohn , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

Arguing for the need to combine declarative and probabilistic programming, B\'ar\'any et al. (TODS 2017) recently introduced a probabilistic extension of Datalog as a "purely declarative probabilistic programming language." We revisit this…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Martin Grohe , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Peter Lindner

Objective: To create a commons for infectious disease (ID) epidemiology in which epidemiologists, public health officers, data producers, and software developers can not only share data and software, but receive assistance in improving…

Understanding the dynamics of the spread of diseases within populations is critical for effective public health interventions. We extend the classical SIR model by incorporating additional complexities such as the introduction of a cure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-30 Daniel Perkins , Davis Hunter , Drake Brown , Trevor Garrity , Wyatt Pochman
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