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We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Zizhuo Wang , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye

Demand forecasting plays an important role in many inventory control problems. To mitigate the potential harms of model misspecification, various forms of distributionally robust optimization have been applied. Although many of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Linwei Xin , David A. Goldberg

Model explainability is crucial for human users to be able to interpret how a proposed classifier assigns labels to data based on its feature values. We study generalized linear models constructed using sets of feature value rules, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Sanjeeb Dash , Soumyadip Ghosh , Joao Goncalves , Mark S. Squillante

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

We consider optimization problems with uncertain constraints that need to be satisfied probabilistically. When data are available, a common method to obtain feasible solutions for such problems is to impose sampled constraints, following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li

This paper studies the multi-item newsvendor problem with a constrained budget and information about demand limited to its range, mean and mean absolute deviation. We consider a minimax model that determines order quantities by minimizing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Guus Boonstra , Wouter J. E. C. van Eekelen , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

This paper presents a computationally efficient model for optimizing real-time decisions in humanitarian aid delivery systems. Our formulation models a hierarchical system and is a mixed integer, probabilistic, non-linear and non-concave…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Roozbeh Yousefzadeh

This paper concerns the central issues of model robustness and sample efficiency in offline reinforcement learning (RL), which aims to learn to perform decision making from history data without active exploration. Due to uncertainties and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi

We study the problem of robust influence maximization in dynamic diffusion networks. In line with recent works, we consider the scenario where the network can undergo insertion and removal of nodes and edges, in discrete time steps, and the…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Arkaprava Saha , Bogdan Cautis , Xiaokui Xiao , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

In this study we analyze linear mixed-integer programming problems, in which the distribution of the cost vector is only observable through a finite training data set. In contrast to the related studies, we assume that the number of random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Sergey S. Ketkov , Andrei S. Shilov

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In the current work we introduce a novel estimation of distribution algorithm to tackle a hard combinatorial optimization problem, namely the single-machine scheduling problem, with uncertain delivery times. The majority of the existing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Boris Mitavskiy , Jun He

Newsvendor problem is an extensively researched topic in inventory management. In this class of inventory problems, shortage and excess costs are considered to be proportional to the quantity lost. But, for critical goods or commodities,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-09 Soham Ghosh , Mamta Sahare , Sujay Mukhoti

In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Tim Tsz-Kit Lau , Han Liu

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

We introduce a new class of adaptive policies called periodic-affine policies, that allows a decision maker to optimally manage and control large-scale newsvendor networks in the presence of uncertain demand without distributional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Chaithanya Bandi , Eojin Han , Omid Nohadani

In this work we revisit two classic high-dimensional online learning problems, namely linear regression and contextual bandits, from the perspective of adversarial robustness. Existing works in algorithmic robust statistics make strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Sitan Chen , Frederic Koehler , Ankur Moitra , Morris Yau

We investigate an optimization problem governed by an elliptic partial differential equation with uncertain parameters. We introduce a robust optimization framework that accounts for uncertain model parameters. The resulting non-linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Alessandro Alla , Michael Hinze , Philip Kolvenbach , Oliver Lass , Stefan Ulbrich