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We improve upon the two-stage sparse vector autoregression (sVAR) method in Davis et al. (2016) by proposing an alternative two-stage modified sVAR method which relies on time series graphical lasso to estimate sparse inverse spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-06 Aramayis Dallakyan , Rakheon Kim , Mohsen Pourahmadi

A novel unsupervised learning method is proposed in this paper for biclustering large-dimensional matrix-valued time series based on an entirely new latent two-way factor structure. Each block cluster is characterized by its own row and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

We consider a multivariate time series model which represents a high dimensional vector process as a sum of three terms: a linear regression of some observed regressors, a linear combination of some latent and serially correlated factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Jinyuan Chang , Bin Guo , Qiwei Yao

We present a windowed technique to learn parsimonious time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate timeseries. This unsupervised method uncovers interpretable spatiotemporal structure in data via non-smooth and non-convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-21 Kameron Decker Harris , Aleksandr Aravkin , Rajesh Rao , Bingni Wen Brunton

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

In this work, we describe advanced numerical tools for working with multivariate functions and for the analysis of large data sets. These tools will drastically reduce the required computing time and the storage cost, and, therefore, will…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Alexander Litvinenko , David Keyes , Venera Khoromskaia , Boris N. Khoromskij , Hermann G. Matthies

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

We study one particular type of multivariate spatial autoregression (MSAR) model with diverging dimensions in both responses and covariates. This makes the usual MSAR models no longer applicable due to the high computational cost. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Jiaxin Shi , Xuening Zhu , Jing Zhou , Baichen Yu , Hansheng Wang

This paper proposes a bootstrap-assisted procedure to conduct simultaneous inference for high dimensional sparse linear models based on the recent de-sparsifying Lasso estimator (van de Geer et al. 2014). Our procedure allows the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are a widely used tool for modelling multivariate time-series. It is common to assume a VAR is stationary; this can be enforced by imposing the stationarity condition which restricts the parameter space of the…

We study low-rank matrix regression in settings where matrix-valued predictors and scalar responses are observed across multiple individuals. Rather than assuming a fully homogeneous coefficient matrices across individuals, we accommodate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Wenyang Zhang

The Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model is fundamental to the study of multivariate time series. Although VAR models are intensively investigated by many researchers, practitioners often show more interest in analyzing VARX models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

We propose a generative model for robust tensor factorization in the presence of both missing data and outliers. The objective is to explicitly infer the underlying low-CP-rank tensor capturing the global information and a sparse tensor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Qibin Zhao , Guoxu Zhou , Liqing Zhang , Andrzej Cichocki , Shun-ichi Amari

Matrix factor model is drawing growing attention for simultaneous two-way dimension reduction of well-structured matrix-valued observations. This paper focuses on robust statistical inference for matrix factor model in the ``diverging…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Yong He , Xin-Bing Kong , Dong Liu , Ran Zhao

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

We study the problems arising from modeling high-dimensional tensor-valued time series under a Tucker decomposition-based factor model with multiple structural change points. First, we propose an algorithm for detecting the multiple change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yuqi Zhang , Zetai Cen , Haeran Cho

Tensors, which provide a powerful and flexible model for representing multi-attribute data and multi-way interactions, play an indispensable role in modern data science across various fields in science and engineering. A fundamental task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Tian Tong , Cong Ma , Ashley Prater-Bennette , Erin Tripp , Yuejie Chi

Tensor time series data appears naturally in a lot of fields, including finance and economics. As a major dimension reduction tool, similar to its factor model counterpart, the idiosyncratic components of a tensor time series factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Weilin Chen , Clifford Lam

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…