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Multifidelity uncertainty quantification (MF UQ) sampling approaches have been shown to significantly reduce the variance of statistical estimators while preserving the bias of the highest-fidelity model, provided that the low-fidelity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-16 Xiaoshu Zeng , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred , John D. Jakeman , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Roger Ghanem

To facilitate robust and trustworthy deployment of large language models (LLMs), it is essential to quantify the reliability of their generations through uncertainty estimation. While recent efforts have made significant advancements by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Rui Li , Jing Long , Muge Qi , Heming Xia , Lei Sha , Peiyi Wang , Zhifang Sui

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

In the study of complex systems, evaluating physical observables often requires sampling representative configurations via Monte Carlo techniques. These methods rely on repeated evaluations of the system's energy and force fields, which can…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-07-02 Dimitrios Tzivrailis , Alberto Rosso , Eiji Kawasaki

In fluid flow simulation, the multi-continuum model is a useful strategy. When the heterogeneity and contrast of coefficients are high, the system becomes multiscale, and some kinds of reduced-order methods are demanded. Combining these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Tina Mai , Siu Wun Cheung , Jun Sur Richard Park

This work develops a polygonal finite element method (PFEM) for the analysis of steady-state and transient thermal stresses in two dimensional continua. The method employs Wachspress rational basis functions to construct conforming…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Yang Yang , Mingjiao Yan , Zongliang Zhang , Dengmiao Hao , Xuedong Chen , Weixiong Chen

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

We introduce a Monte Carlo Virtual Element estimator based on Virtual Element discretizations for stochastic elliptic partial differential equations with random diffusion coefficients. We prove estimates for the statistical approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Paola F. Antonietti , Francesca Bonizzoni , Ilaria Perugia , Marco Verani

In this paper, we introduce the Phantom Domain Finite Element Method (PDFEM), a novel computational approach tailored for the efficient analysis of heterogeneous and composite materials. Inspired by fictitious domain methods, this method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tianlong He , Philippe Karamian-Surville , Daniel Choï

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) as an indicator of the trustworthiness of automated deep-learning (DL) tools in the context of white matter lesion (WML) segmentation from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of…

The problem of multiphase materials (fluid or solid) interacting with the rigid body structure is studied by proposing a novel VMS-FEM (variational multi-scale finite element method) in the Eulerian framework using the fixed mesh. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Tianyu Li

In this work, a thermo-mechanical model that predicts the actuation response of shape memory alloys is probabilistically calibrated against three experimental data sets simultaneously. Before calibration, a design of experiments (DOE) has…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-22 Pejman Honarmandi , Alex Solomou , Raymundo Arroyave , Dimitris Lagoudas

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is highly efficient for estimating expectations of a functional of a solution to a stochastic differential equation (SDE). However, MLMC estimators may be unstable and have a poor (noncanonical)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Christian Bayer , Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Raul Tempone

We introduce a new family of high order accurate semi-implicit schemes for the solution of non-linear hyperbolic partial differential equations on unstructured polygonal meshes. The time discretization is based on a splitting between…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Walter Boscheri , Andrea Chiozzi , Michele Giuliano Carlino , Giulia Bertaglia

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

The crystal structure of high-pressure solid hydrogen remains a fundamental open problem. Although the research frontier has mostly shifted toward ultra-high pressure phases above 400 GPa, we show that even the broken symmetry phase…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-12-30 Shengdu Chai , Chen Lin , Xinyang Dong , Yuqiang Li , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Wang , X. C. Xie

The paper introduces an adaptive version of the stabilized Trace Finite Element Method (TraceFEM) designed to solve low-regularity elliptic problems on level-set surfaces using a shape-regular bulk mesh in the embedding space. Two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Timo Heister , Maxim A. Olshanskii , Vladimir Yushutin

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential when employing large language models (LLMs) in high-risk domains such as clinical question answering (QA). In this work, we evaluate uncertainty estimation methods for clinical QA…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Alberto Testoni , Iacer Calixto

Understanding the applicability and limitations of electronic-structure methods needs careful and efficient comparison with accurate reference data. Knowledge of the quality and errors of electronic-structure calculations is crucial to…

Generalized or extended finite element methods (GFEM/XFEM) are in general badly conditioned and have numerous additional degrees of freedom (DOF) compared with the FEM because of introduction of enriched functions. In this paper, we develop…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Qinghui Zhang , Cu Cui