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Modelling longitudinal data is an important yet challenging task. These datasets can be high-dimensional, contain non-linear effects and time-varying covariates. Gaussian process (GP) prior-based variational autoencoders (VAEs) have emerged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Priscilla Ong , Manuel Haußmann , Otto Lönnroth , Harri Lähdesmäki

A new modification of the Neural Additive Model (NAM) called SurvNAM and its modifications are proposed to explain predictions of the black-box machine learning survival model. The method is based on applying the original NAM to solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Lev V. Utkin , Egor D. Satyukov , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

Generalized additive models (GAMs) offer interpretability through independent univariate feature effects but underfit when interactions are present in data. GA$^2$Ms add selected pairwise interactions which improves accuracy, but sacrifices…

Latent factor models that integrate data from multiple sources/studies or modalities have garnered considerable attention across various disciplines. However, existing methods predominantly focus either on multi-study integration or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

In many countries life expectancy gains have been substantially higher than predicted by even recent forecasts. This is primarily due to increasing rates of improvement in old-age mortality not captured by existing models. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Søren Fiig Jarner

There has been growing interest on forecasting mortality. In this article, we propose a novel dynamic Bayesian approach for modeling and forecasting the age-at-death distribution, focusing on a three-components mixture of a Dirac mass, a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-20 Emanuele Aliverti , Stefano Mazzuco , Bruno Scarpa

Various privacy-preserving frameworks that respect the individual's privacy in the analysis of data have been developed in recent years. However, available model classes such as simple statistics or generalized linear models lack the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-13 Daniel Schalk , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

In epidemic modeling, outliers can distort parameter estimation and ultimately lead to misguided public health decisions. Although there are existing robust methods that can mitigate this distortion, the ability to simultaneously detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Haoming Shi , Shan Yu , Eric C. Chi

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a widely used class of models of interest to statisticians as they provide a flexible way to design interpretable models of data beyond linear models. We here propose a scalable and well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Vincent Adam , Nicolas Durrande , ST John

Quantile regression (QR) can be used to describe the comprehensive relationship between a response and predictors. Prior domain knowledge and assumptions in application are usually formulated as constraints of parameters to improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Yongxin Liu , Peng Zeng

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

The classical approach to analyzing extreme value data is the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). When the GPD is used to explain a target variable with the large dimension of covariates, the shape and scale function of covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Takuma Yoshida

With increasing interest in applying machine learning to develop healthcare solutions, there is a desire to create interpretable deep learning models for survival analysis. In this paper, we extend the Neural Additive Model (NAM) by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Matthew Peroni , Marharyta Kurban , Sun Young Yang , Young Sun Kim , Hae Yeon Kang , Ji Hyun Song

High-frequency mortality data have attracted growing attention, but their use has largely been confined to specific applications rather than general modelling and forecasting. Such data pose new challenges to traditional mortality models…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ziting Miao , Han Li , Yuyu Chen

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a commonly used, flexible framework applied to many problems in statistical ecology. GAMs are often considered to be a purely frequentist framework (`generalized linear models with wiggly bits'),…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 David L. Miller

We investigate jointly modeling Age-specific rates of various causes of death in a multinational setting. We apply Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP), a spatial machine learning method, to smooth and extrapolate multiple cause-of-death…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-15 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

We develop an encompassing framework for matching, covariate balancing, and doubly-robust methods for causal inference from observational data called generalized optimal matching (GOM). The framework is given by generalizing a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-30 Nathan Kallus

Generalized additive models (GAM) have been successfully applied to high dimensional data analysis. However, most existing methods cannot simultaneously estimate the link function, the component functions and the variable interaction. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Peipei Yuan , Xinge You , Hong Chen , Xuelin Zhang , Qinmu Peng

The analysis of complex longitudinal data such as COVID-19 deaths is challenging due to several inherent features: (i) Similarly-shaped profiles with different decay patterns; (ii) Unexplained variation among repeated measurements within…