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In this paper we provide a mathematical programming based decision tool to optimally reallocate and share equipments between different units in emergency situations under lack of resources. The approach is motivated by the COVID-19 pandemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Víctor Blanco , Ricardo Gázquez , Marina Leal

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted health systems and economies worldwide. Significant global efforts are therefore ongoing to improve vaccine efficacies, optimize vaccine deployment, and develop new antiviral therapies to combat…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-21 Rajat Desikan , Pranesh Padmanabhan , Andrzej M. Kierzek , Piet H. van der Graaf

The COVID-19 disease has forced countries to make a considerable collaborative effort between scientists and governments to provide indicators to suitable follow-up the pandemic's consequences. Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-29 Patricio Cumsille , Oscar Rojas-Díaz , Pablo Moisset de Espanés

Analysing and understanding the transmission and evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic is mandatory to be able to design the best social and medical policies, foresee their outcomes and deal with all the subsequent socio-economic effects. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-28 Radu D. Stochiţoiu , Marian Petrica , Traian Rebedea , Ionel Popescu , Marius Leordeanu

In this paper, we present a decision support framework for optimizing multiple aspects of vaccine distribution across a multitier cold chain network. We propose two multi-period optimization formulations within this framework: first to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Shanmukhi Sripada , Ayush Jain , Prasanna Ramamoorthy , Varun Ramamohan

Since COVID-19 vaccines became available, no studies have quantified how different disaster evacuation strategies can mitigate pandemic risks in shelters. Therefore, we applied an age-structured epidemiological model, known as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-30 Yi-Lin Tsai , Dymasius Y. Sitepu , Karyn E. Chappell , Rishi P. Mediratta , C. Jason Wang , Peter K. Kitanidis , Christopher B. Field

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

In the present article a mathematical model is proposed to research the current coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) in Paraguay, describing the multiple transmission paths in the infection dynamics, following the susceptible, exposed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Juan A. Gonzalez Cuevas

The goal of this work is to analyse the effects of control policies for the coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic in Brazil. This is done by considering an age-structured SEIR model with a quarantine class and two types of controls. The first one…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 César Castilho , João A. M. Gondim , Marcelo Marchesin , Mehran Sabeti

We study how international flights can facilitate the spread of an epidemic to a worldwide scale. We combine an infrastructure network of flight connections with a population density dataset to derive the mobility network, and then we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Hugo Dolan , Riccardo Rastelli

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa

Policy-makers require data-driven tools to assess the spread of COVID-19 and inform the public of their risk of infection on an ongoing basis. We propose a rigorous hybrid model-and-data-driven approach to risk scoring based on a…

Whenever countries are threatened by a pandemic, as is the case with the COVID-19 virus, governments should take the right actions to safeguard public health as well as to mitigate the negative effects on the economy. In this regard, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Luis Miralles-Pechuán , Fernando Jiménez , Hiram Ponce , Lourdes Martínez-Villaseñor

A reaction-diffusion model was developed describing the spread of the COVID-19 virus considering the mean daily movement of susceptible, exposed and asymptomatic individuals. The model was calibrated using data on the confirmed infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-08 Youcef Mammeri

This paper investigates the identifiability of a spatial mathematical model of the spread of fast-moving epidemics based on the law of acting masses and diffusion processes. The research algorithm is based on global methods of Sobol…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Olga Krivorotko , Tatiana Zvonareva , Andrei Neverov

In this paper, we propose a new real-time differential virus transmission model, which can give more accurate and robust short-term predictions of COVID-19 transmitted infectious disease with benefits of near-term trend projection.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Sheldon X. D. Tan , Liang Chen

This research is about COVID-19, which is a contagious virus that reached many countries, including Lebanon. Monitoring the outbreak, researchers have been involved in introducing COVID-19 targeting vaccines. Already facing financial and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Sarkis Der Wartanian , Baydaa Al Ayoubi

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang