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In this paper, we investigate the (in)-consistency of different bootstrap methods for constructing confidence intervals in the class of estimators that converge at rate $n^{1/3}$. The Grenander estimator, the nonparametric maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael Woodroofe

An asymptotic theory is established for linear functionals of the predictive function given by kernel ridge regression, when the reproducing kernel Hilbert space is equivalent to a Sobolev space. The theory covers a wide variety of linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Rui Tuo , Lu Zou

In this paper we offer a unified approach to the problem of nonparametric regression on the unit interval. It is based on a universal, honest and non-asymptotic confidence region which is defined by a set of linear inequalities involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 P. L. Davies , A. Kovac , M. Meise

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian

A structure-preserving kernel ridge regression method is presented that allows the recovery of globally defined, potentially high-dimensional, and nonlinear Hamiltonian functions on Poisson manifolds out of datasets made of noisy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-21 Jianyu Hu , Juan-Pablo Ortega , Daiying Yin

Band-limited functions are fundamental objects that are widely used in systems theory and signal processing. In this paper we refine a recent nonparametric, nonasymptotic method for constructing simultaneous confidence regions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

Existing methods for pixel-wise labelling tasks generally disregard the underlying structure of labellings, often leading to predictions that are visually implausible. While incorporating structure into the model should improve prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Ke Li , Bharath Hariharan , Jitendra Malik

This study focuses on finite-sample inference on the non-linear Bures-Wasserstein manifold and introduces a generalized bootstrap procedure for estimating Bures-Wasserstein barycenters. We provide non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Alexey Kroshnin , Vladimir Spokoiny , Alexandra Suvorikova

Uniform confidence bands for functions are widely used in empirical analysis. A variety of simple implementation methods (most notably multiplier bootstrap) have been proposed and theoretically justified. However, an implementation over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Shunsuke Imai

We introduce a new framework for creating point-wise confidence intervals for the distribution of event times for current status data. Existing methods are based on asymptotics. Our framework is based on binomial properties and motivates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Sungwook Kim , Michael P. Fay , Michael A. Proschan

This review paper discusses the identification of regions, a crucial first step in applying the "method-of-regions" technique. A systematic approach based on Newton polytope geometry has proven successful and efficient for many cases.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-05-05 Yao Ma

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

In this work we give new density estimators by averaging classical density estimators such as the histogram, the frequency polygon and the kernel density estimators obtained over different bootstrap samples of the original data. We prove…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-24 Mathias Bourel , Jairo Cugliari

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

A general notion of bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates constructed by exchangeably weighting sample is introduced. Asymptotic properties of these generalized bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates are obtained, by mean of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Mohamed Cherfi

Imputation is a popular technique for handling missing data. We consider a nonparametric approach to imputation using the kernel ridge regression technique and propose consistent variance estimation. The proposed variance estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Hengfang Wang , Jae-Kwang Kim

Calibration is commonly evaluated by comparing model confidence with its empirical correctness, implicitly treating reliability as a function of the confidence score alone. However, this view can hide substantial structure: models may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Katarzyna Kobalczyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

The problem of quantifying uncertainty about the locations of multiple change points by means of confidence intervals is addressed. The asymptotic distribution of the change point estimators obtained as the local maximisers of moving sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

We propose a framework for hypothesis testing on conditional probability distributions, which we then use to construct statistical tests of functionals of conditional distributions. These tests identify the inputs where the functionals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Pierre-François Massiani , Christian Fiedler , Lukas Haverbeck , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe