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In order to mitigate the impacts of the energy crise, the European Union has proposed various measures. For the power sector a directive prescribes a shift of 5% of the demand in 10% of the peak hours, plus a voluntary 10% overall demand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Alice Di Bella , Massimo Tavoni

Climate change mitigation is a global challenge that, however, needs to be resolved by national-level authorities, resembling a tragedy of the commons. This paradox is reflected at European scale, as climate commitments are made by the EU…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-11 Tim T. Pedersen , Mikael Skou Andersen , Marta Victoria , Gorm B. Andresen

For a given carbon budget over several decades, different transformation rates for the energy system yield starkly different results. Here we consider a budget of 33 GtCO2 for the cumulative carbon dioxide emissions from the European…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-07 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

Low-carbon electricity is a key enabler in combating climate change. Decarbonising the power sector is now at the centre of global and European policies. As the IPCC highlights, pathways where the power sector rapidly decarbonises by 2030…

The ambitious energy target to achieve climate-neutrality in the European Union (EU) energy system raises the feasibility question of using only renewables across all energy sectors. As one of the EU's leading industrialized countries,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-09 Md Nasimul Islam Maruf

In the present study, for the first time, an effort sharing approach based on Inertia and Capability principles is proposed to assess European Union (EU27) carbon budget distribution among the Member States. This is done within the context…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-16 Ilaria Perissi , Aled Jones

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework aimed at advancing research and policy development in the realm of decarbonization within electric power systems. The framework focuses on three key aspects: carbon accounting, carbon-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-29 Xin Chen , Hungpo Chao , Wenbo Shi , Na Li

The European Union (EU) aims to reach carbon neutrality by 2050. This requires capturing CO2, eventually transporting it to different regions, and either converting it into valuable products or sequestering it underground. Although the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-23 Ricardo Fernandes , Martin Greiner , Marta Victoria

This study investigates the short-term forecasting of carbon emissions from electricity generation in the Italian power market. Using hourly data from 2021 to 2023, several statistical models and forecast combination methods are evaluated…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-19 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Francesco Lisi

Decarbonizing the energy sector is one of the main challenges to combat the climate crisis. Cities play an important role to reach climate neutrality as more than 70% of global CO2 emissions originate from urban areas. Decarbonization of…

The retirement of unabated coal power plants, the plummeting cost of renewable energy technologies, along with more aggressive public policies and regulatory reforms, are occurring at an unprecedented speed to decarbonize the power and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Chenye Wu , Zhu Han

Standard EU energy system modelling approaches optimize for least-cost, leading to highly centralized systems, in conflict with political feasibility and physical security concerns. This paper incorporates decentralisation as a constraint…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 Kristoffer Hedegaard Aden , Alexander Kies

Electricity systems are key to transforming today's society into a carbon-free economy. Long-term electricity market mechanisms, including auctions, support schemes, and other policy instruments, are critical in shaping the electricity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Javier Gonzalez-Ruiz , Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo , Iacopo Savelli , Alice Di Bella , Massimo Tavoni

A two-stage multi-period mixed-integer linear stochastic programming model is proposed to assist qualified operators in long-term generation and transmission expansion planning of electricity and gas systems to meet policy objectives. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Giovanni Micheli , Maria Teresa Vespucci , Alessia Cortazzi , Cinzia Puglisi

Building on the carbon reduction targets agreed in the Paris Agreements, many nations have renewed their efforts toward achieving carbon neutrality by the year 2050. In line with this ambitious goal, nations are seeking to understand the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-10 Dinh Hoa Nguyen , Andrew Chapman , Takeshi Tsuji

In order to reach EU's goal of zero emissions in 2050, the energy system will go through a significant transition over the next decades. To substitute fossil energy carriers, renewable energy sources will be mainly integrated in the power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Tim Felling , Oliver Levers , Philipp Fortenbacher

Decarbonisation of the power sector requires feasible strategies for rapid phase-out of fossil fuels and expansion of low-carbon sources. This study develops and uses a model with an explicit account of power plant stocks to explore…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Minwoo Hyun , Aleh Cherp , Jessica Jewell , Yeong Jae Kim , Jiyong Eom

This study provides a comprehensive strategic analysis of infrastructure energy investment in the context of the global low-carbon transition. Integrating quantitative panel data analysis across 15 countries (2010-2023), detailed case…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-31 Yao Liang , Xin Weng , Tingting Sun
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