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Morden deep ensembles technique achieves strong uncertainty estimation performance by going through multiple forward passes with different models. This is at the price of a high storage space and a slow speed in the inference (test) time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Jonas Dehning , Johannes Zierenberg , F. Paul Spitzner , Michael Wibral , Joao Pinheiro Neto , Michael Wilczek , Viola Priesemann

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

Sliced inverse regression (Duan and Li [Ann. Statist. 19 (1991) 505-530], Li [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991) 316-342]) is an appealing dimension reduction method for regression models with multivariate covariates. It has been extended…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Ci-Ren Jiang , Wei Yu , Jane-Ling Wang

Recently there has been much interest in graph-based learning, with applications in collaborative filtering for recommender networks, link prediction for social networks and fraud detection. These networks can consist of millions of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Purnamrita Sarkar , Andrew Moore

Across many scientific disciplines, multiple observations are collected from the same experimental units, and in modern datasets these observations often arise as non-Euclidean random objects. In such settings, the incorporation of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Marcos Matabuena , Mateo Cámara

With the rapid development of data collection techniques, complex data objects that are not in the Euclidean space are frequently encountered in new statistical applications. Fr\'echet regression model (Peterson & M\"uller 2019) provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Qi Zhang , Lingzhou Xue , Bing Li

Analyzing changes in network evolution is central to statistical network inference, as underscored by recent challenges of predicting and distinguishing pandemic-induced transformations in organizational and communication networks. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Avanti Athreya , Zachary Lubberts , Youngser Park , Carey E Priebe

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

Sliced inverse regression is one of the most popular sufficient dimension reduction methods. Originally, it was designed for independent and identically distributed data and recently extend to the case of serially and spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Christoph Muehlmann , Hannu Oja , Klaus Nordhausen

The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Bryan Wilder , Michael J. Mina , Milind Tambe

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. Many unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

Network data arises through observation of relational information between a collection of entities. Recent work in the literature has independently considered when (i) one observes a sample of networks, connectome data in neuroscience being…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 George Bolt , Simón Lunagómez , Christopher Nemeth

Deep metric learning techniques have been used for visual representation in various supervised and unsupervised learning tasks through learning embeddings of samples with deep networks. However, classic approaches, which employ a fixed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Zhiyuan Li , Ziru Liu , Anna Zou , Anca L. Ralescu

Studies of the effects of medical interventions increasingly take place in distributed research settings using data from multiple clinical data sources including electronic health records and administrative claims. In such settings, privacy…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Martijn J. Schuemie , Yong Chen , David Madigan , Marc A. Suchard

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

Reconstructing who infected whom is a central challenge in analysing epidemiological data. Recently, advances in sequencing technology have led to increasing interest in Bayesian approaches to inferring who infected whom using genetic data…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-30 Michelle Kendall , Diepreye Ayabina , Caroline Colijn

Regression discontinuity designs have been widely used in observational studies to estimate causal effects of an intervention or treatment at a cutoff point. We propose a generalization of regression discontinuity designs to handle complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daisuke Kurisu , Yidong Zhou , Taisuke Otsu , Hans-Georg Müller

Random forests are a statistical learning method widely used in many areas of scientific research because of its ability to learn complex relationships between input and output variables and also its capacity to handle high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Louis Capitaine , Jérémie Bigot , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Robin Genuer

Robert Machol's surprising result, that from a single observation it is possible to have finite length confidence intervals for the parameters of location-scale models, is re-produced and extended. Two previously unpublished modifications…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-04-17 Carlos C. Rodriguez