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Predictive models are typically trained on historical data to predict future outcomes. While it is commonly assumed that training on more historical data would improve model performance and robustness, data distribution shifts over time may…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Chengyuan Yao , Yunxuan Tang , Christopher Brooks , Rene F. Kizilcec , Renzhe Yu

Transfer learning is a powerful technique for knowledge-sharing between different tasks. Recent work has found that the representations of models with certain invariances, such as to adversarial input perturbations, achieve higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Till Speicher , Vedant Nanda , Krishna P. Gummadi

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Ensuring the reliability and safety of automated decision-making is crucial. It is well-known that data distribution shifts in machine learning can produce unreliable outcomes. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Daniel Sikar , Artur Garcez , Tillman Weyde , Robin Bloomfield , Kaleem Peeroo

We present machine learning estimators for causal and predictive parameters under covariate shift, where covariate distributions differ between training and target populations. One such parameter is the average effect of a policy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Michael Newey , Whitney K Newey , Rahul Singh , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Deploying machine learning models to new tasks is a major challenge despite the large size of the modern training datasets. However, it is conceivable that the training data can be reweighted to be more representative of the new (target)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Subha Maity , Mikhail Yurochkin , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

In observational causal inference, in order to emulate a randomized experiment, weights are used to render treatments independent of observed covariates. This property is known as balance; in its absence, estimated causal effects may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Arjun Sondhi

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

When deployed in the real world, machine learning models inevitably encounter changes in the data distribution, and certain -- but not all -- distribution shifts could result in significant performance degradation. In practice, it may make…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

Distribution shift is a common situation in machine learning tasks, where the data used for training a model is different from the data the model is applied to in the real world. This issue arises across multiple technical settings: from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolas Acevedo , Carmen Cortez , Chris Brooks , Rene Kizilcec , Renzhe Yu

Recent work has shown that the performance of machine learning models can vary substantially when models are evaluated on data drawn from a distribution that is close to but different from the training distribution. As a result, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Devin Guillory , Vaishaal Shankar , Sayna Ebrahimi , Trevor Darrell , Ludwig Schmidt

This article addresses the problem of classification method based on both labeled and unlabeled data, where we assume that a density function for labeled data is different from that for unlabeled data. We propose a semi-supervised logistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-20 Shuichi Kawano

Self-supervised pre-training with contrastive learning is a powerful method for learning from sparsely labeled data. However, performance can drop considerably when there is a shift in the distribution of data from training to test time. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Robert Lewis , Katie Matton , Rosalind W. Picard , John Guttag

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

A basic assumption of statistical learning theory is that train and test data are drawn from the same underlying distribution. Unfortunately, this assumption doesn't hold in many applications. Instead, ample labeled data might exist in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-11-21 Oscar Beijbom

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

We propose to formulate multi-label learning as a estimation of class distribution in a non-linear embedding space, where for each label, its positive data embeddings and negative data embeddings distribute compactly to form a positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Zhuo Yang , Yufei Han , Guoxian Yu , Qiang Yang , Xiangliang Zhang

Classifiers and other statistics-based machine learning (ML) techniques generalize, or learn, based on various statistical properties of the training data. The assumption underlying statistical ML resulting in theoretical or empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Samuel Ackerman , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici , Aviad Zlotnick

Machine learning methods strive to acquire a robust model during the training process that can effectively generalize to test samples, even in the presence of distribution shifts. However, these methods often suffer from performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jian Liang , Ran He , Tieniu Tan
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