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Parametric assumptions such as exponential distribution are commonly used in clinical trial design and analysis. However, violation of distribution assumptions can introduce biases in sample size and power calculations. Piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Tianchen Xu , Rachael Wen , Wen Zhang

This work proposes a notion of robust reachability of one set from another set under constant control. This notion is used to construct a control strategy, involving sequential set-to-set reachability, which guarantees robust global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-11-21 Iasson Karafyllis , Costas Kravaris

Software quality assurance has been a heated topic for several decades. If factors that influence software quality can be identified, they may provide more insight for better software development management. More precise quality assurance…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-07-27 Jie Xu , Danny Ho , Luiz Fernando Capretz

The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Quasi-Bayesian theory uses convex sets of probability distributions and expected loss to represent preferences about plans. The theory focuses on decision robustness, i.e., the extent to which plans are affected by deviations in subjective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman , Eric Krotkov

Fuzzy modeling has many advantages over the non-fuzzy methods, such as robustness against uncertainties and less sensitivity to the varying dynamics of nonlinear systems. Data-driven fuzzy modeling needs to extract fuzzy rules from the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Erick de la Rosa , Wen Yu

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

We introduce a class of acquisition functions for sample selection that leads to faster convergence in applications related to Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification. The approach follows the paradigm of active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Antoine Blanchard , Themistoklis Sapsis

Sampling-based methods, e.g., Deep Ensembles and Bayesian Neural Nets have become promising approaches to improve the quality of uncertainty estimation and robust generalization. However, they suffer from a large model size and high latency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

In this paper, an attempt has been made to develop a simple leakage inventory model without shortages with instantaneous or finite production rate under fuzzy environment. In the present day scenario, it is difficult to decide the exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Huidrom Malemnganbi , M. Kuber Singh

In this paper we present a method to generate independent samples for a general random variable, either continuous or discrete. The algorithm is an extension of the acceptance-rejection method, and it is particularly useful for kinetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Farzin Barekat , Russel Caflisch

In real-life temporal scenarios, uncertainty and preferences are often essential and coexisting aspects. We present a formalism where quantitative temporal constraints with both preferences and uncertainty can be defined. We show how three…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-12 F. Rossi , K. B. Venable , N. Yorke-Smith

Naive approaches to amortized inference in probabilistic programs with unbounded loops can produce estimators with infinite variance. This is particularly true of importance sampling inference in programs that explicitly include rejection…

In this paper, probabilistic guarantees for constraint sampling of multistage robust convex optimization problems are derived. The dynamic nature of these problems is tackled via the so-called scenario-with-certificates approach. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Francesca Maggioni , Marida Bertocchi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

Marine accidents highlight the crucial need for human safety. They result in loss of life, environmental harm, and significant economic costs, emphasizing the importance of being proactive and taking precautionary steps. This study aims to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hitesh Khungla , Kulbir Singh , Mohit Kumar

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

We study a relaxation of the problem of coupling probability distributions -- a list of samples is generated from one distribution and an accept is declared if any one of these samples is identical to the sample generated from the other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Joseph Rowan , Buu Phan , Ashish Khisti
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