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Sequential change point tests aim at giving an alarm as soon as possible after a structural break occurs while controlling the asymptotic false alarm error. For such tests it is of particular importance to understand how quickly a break is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Testing for the equality of two high-dimensional distributions is a challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size is small. Over the last few decades, several graph-based two-sample tests have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Soham Sarkar , Rahul Biswas , Anil K. Ghosh

The research described herewith investigates detecting change points of means and of variances in a sequence of observations. The number of change points can be divergent at certain rate as the sample size goes to infinity. We define a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-04 Wenbiao Zhao , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider a popular online change-point problem of detecting a transient change in distributions of i.i.d. random variables. For this change-point problem, several change-point procedures are formulated and some advanced results for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Jack Noonan

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

We observe $n$ independent pairs of random variables $(W_{i}, Y_{i})$, where the conditional distribution of $Y_{i}$ given $W_{i}=w_{i}$ follows a one-parameter exponential family with parameter $\bsg^{*}(w_{i})\in\R$. Our goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-12 Juntong Chen

Modeling functions that are sequentially observed as functional time series is becoming increasingly common. In such models, it is often crucial to ensure data homogeneity. We investigate the sensitivity of graph-based change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jeremy VanderDoes , Shojaeddin Chenouri

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

Independence analysis is an indispensable step before regression analysis to find out essential factors that influence the objects. With many applications in machine Learning, medical Learning and a variety of disciplines, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Wenliang Pan , Yujue Li , Jianwu Liu , Pei Dang , Weixiong Mai

We consider online monitoring of the network event data to detect local changes in a cluster when the affected data stream distribution shifts from one point process to another with different parameters. Specifically, we are interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Rui Zhang , Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Identifying the onset of emotional stress in older patients with mood disorders and chronic pain is crucial in mental health studies. To this end, studying the associations between passively sensed variables that measure human behaviors and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Younghoon Kim , Sumanta Basu , Samprit Banerjee

We study offline change point localization and inference in dynamic multilayer random dot product graphs (D-MRDPGs), where at each time point, a multilayer network is observed with shared node latent positions and time-varying,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Fan Wang , Kyle Ritscher , Yik Lun Kei , Xin Ma , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

The concept of homogeneity plays a critical role in statistics, both in its applications as well as its theory. Change point analysis is a statistical tool that aims to attain homogeneity within time series data. This is accomplished…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-19 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

We provide an online framework for analyzing data recorded by smart watches during running activities. In particular, we focus on identifying variations in the behavior of one or more measurements caused by changes in physical condition,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-24 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Petros Dellaportas

We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang